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Maryland Terrapins NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

72.3%

Automatic Bid

3.1%

At Large Bid

69.2%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (7.9%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.5%
23 96.6%
22 83.0%
21 42.9%
20 9.6%
19 1.0%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 72.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.8%
2 1.2% 0.9%
3 2.9% 0.4%
4 5.4% 0.3%
5 7.5% 0.2%
6 7.9% 0.1%
7 7.4% 0.1%
8 7.8% 0.1%
9 7.8% 0.1%
10 7.3% 0.0%
11 6.8% 0.0%
12 6.5% 0.0%
13 2.7% 0.0%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.