Maryland Terrapins NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

94.8%

Automatic Bid

5.6%

At Large Bid

89.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (16.8%)

Final Four

2.7%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.0%
23 92.5%
22 65.5%
21 22.3%
20 2.4%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 94.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.7% 0.6%
3 6.8% 0.5%
4 13.3% 0.3%
5 16.8% 0.2%
6 15.8% 0.2%
7 12.3% 0.1%
8 9.3% 0.1%
9 7.1% 0.1%
10 5.2% 0.1%
11 3.6% 0.1%
12 2.3% 0.1%
13 0.5% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.