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San Diego St. Aztecs NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View San Diego St. bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

96.0%

Automatic Bid

51.0%

At Large Bid

44.9%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (17.8%)

Final Four

5.6%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 98.8%
25 94.3%
24 79.9%
23 52.4%
22 23.6%
21 2.0%
20 0.1%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 96.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.8% 3.0%
2 11.8% 1.7%
3 17.7% 0.9%
4 17.8% 0.4%
5 14.2% 0.3%
6 9.0% 0.2%
7 6.1% 0.1%
8 5.1% 0.1%
9 4.0% 0.1%
10 3.0% 0.1%
11 2.2% 0.1%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.