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San Diego St. Aztecs NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View San Diego St. bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

90.5%

Automatic Bid

37.8%

At Large Bid

52.7%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (15.4%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.5%
24 96.1%
23 81.1%
22 45.3%
21 13.5%
20 0.4%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 90.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 1.0%
2 3.6% 0.4%
3 9.8% 0.3%
4 14.7% 0.1%
5 15.4% 0.1%
6 11.9% 0.1%
7 8.4% 0.0%
8 7.1% 0.0%
9 6.0% 0.0%
10 4.8% 0.0%
11 3.8% 0.0%
12 2.9% 0.0%
13 1.1% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.