San Diego St. Aztecs NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

  • Mountain West Conference teams:
  • All teams:
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Make Tournament

77.2%

Automatic Bid

27.7%

At Large Bid

49.4%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (15.2%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 96.1%
25 72.8%
24 60.7%
23 22.1%
22 0.9%
OVERALL 77.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.6% 0.1%
5 1.7% 0.1%
6 3.8% 0.1%
7 7.0% 0.0%
8 10.8% 0.0%
9 14.0% 0.0%
10 15.2% 0.0%
11 13.7% 0.0%
12 8.7% 0.0%
13 1.6% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.