San Diego St. Aztecs NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

85.8%

Automatic Bid

0.0%

At Large Bid

85.8%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (28.4%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 94.9%
22 75.7%
OVERALL 85.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.4% 0.1%
6 0.8% 0.2%
7 1.7% 0.1%
8 3.1% 0.1%
9 5.5% 0.1%
10 9.4% 0.1%
11 15.9% 0.1%
12 28.4% 0.1%
13 17.5% 0.1%
14 2.9% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.