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Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Virginia bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

90.3%

Automatic Bid

5.9%

At Large Bid

84.3%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (13.7%)

Final Four

7.2%

NCAA Champs

1.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 98.4%
20 88.4%
19 57.8%
18 18.4%
17 3.9%
16 0.8%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 90.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.0% 5.2%
2 5.9% 3.1%
3 9.0% 2.0%
4 11.5% 1.3%
5 13.7% 0.8%
6 13.4% 0.6%
7 8.3% 0.4%
8 5.6% 0.2%
9 5.0% 0.2%
10 4.6% 0.2%
11 4.3% 0.1%
12 4.3% 0.1%
13 2.1% 0.1%
14 0.6% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.