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Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Virginia bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

99.4%

Automatic Bid

11.7%

At Large Bid

87.6%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (22.0%)

Final Four

14.4%

NCAA Champs

2.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 97.4%
21 87.6%
20 53.4%
19 12.1%
18 0.5%
17 0.1%
OVERALL 99.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.3% 6.2%
2 21.8% 3.4%
3 22.0% 2.2%
4 17.3% 1.3%
5 11.6% 0.9%
6 6.5% 0.7%
7 2.9% 0.5%
8 1.6% 0.5%
9 1.0% 0.2%
10 0.7% 0.3%
11 0.4% 0.2%
12 0.3% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.