Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

46.1%

At Large Bid

53.9%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (42.1%)

Final Four

15.0%

NCAA Champs

3.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 4.0%
2 21.3% 3.5%
3 42.1% 3.3%
4 23.3% 2.9%
5 7.0% 2.6%
6 2.2% 2.6%
7 0.7% 2.0%
8 0.3% 0.8%
9 0.1% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.