Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

53.1%

Automatic Bid

0.0%

At Large Bid

53.1%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (9.6%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 54.6%
21 9.5%
OVERALL 53.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.2% -
4 1.1% 0.1%
5 3.1% 0.1%
6 5.9% 0.1%
7 8.4% 0.1%
8 9.6% 0.1%
9 9.0% 0.1%
10 7.1% 0.1%
11 4.9% 0.1%
12 3.0% 0.1%
13 0.7% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.