Villanova Wildcats NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.4%

Automatic Bid

44.2%

At Large Bid

55.3%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (28.7%)

Final Four

14.9%

NCAA Champs

2.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.2%
23 93.0%
22 69.0%
21 22.2%
20 0.1%
19 0.1%
OVERALL 99.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 24.2% 4.1%
2 28.7% 2.3%
3 19.2% 1.4%
4 12.0% 0.9%
5 6.9% 0.6%
6 3.7% 0.4%
7 1.9% 0.4%
8 1.1% 0.2%
9 0.7% 0.2%
10 0.5% 0.2%
11 0.3% 0.1%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.