Villanova Wildcats NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

42.9%

At Large Bid

57.0%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (39.5%)

Final Four

16.3%

NCAA Champs

2.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.3%
22 76.1%
21 56.2%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 17.1% 4.4%
2 39.5% 2.9%
3 24.4% 2.1%
4 10.7% 1.5%
5 4.7% 1.1%
6 2.1% 0.9%
7 0.8% 0.5%
8 0.3% 0.5%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.