Harvard Crimson NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

36.8%

Automatic Bid

35.8%

At Large Bid

1.0%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (5.6%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 99.1%
22 74.4%
21 10.8%
20 0.3%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 36.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.3% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.0%
6 2.2% 0.0%
7 3.8% 0.0%
8 4.9% 0.0%
9 5.5% 0.0%
10 5.6% 0.0%
11 5.6% 0.0%
12 5.5% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.