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Harvard Crimson NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Harvard bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

47.9%

Automatic Bid

44.9%

At Large Bid

3.0%

Most Likely Seed

#13 (8.0%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.2%
24 96.6%
23 84.1%
22 58.1%
21 29.1%
20 8.6%
19 1.8%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 47.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.1%
5 1.1% 0.0%
6 1.6% 0.0%
7 2.6% 0.0%
8 3.6% 0.0%
9 4.0% 0.0%
10 4.4% 0.0%
11 5.2% 0.0%
12 7.8% 0.0%
13 8.0% 0.0%
14 5.6% 0.0%
15 2.4% 0.0%
16 0.6% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.