Our Week 16 NFL contest for $6,249 in guaranteed prizes is open. Claim your spot now.

Harvard Crimson NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Harvard bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

60.8%

Automatic Bid

53.5%

At Large Bid

7.3%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.5%)

Final Four

0.3%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 98.7%
23 91.8%
22 64.3%
21 24.5%
20 4.5%
19 0.5%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 60.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.9% 0.1%
4 2.3% 0.0%
5 3.9% 0.0%
6 5.3% 0.0%
7 7.6% 0.0%
8 8.5% 0.0%
9 8.0% 0.0%
10 7.1% 0.0%
11 6.4% 0.0%
12 6.3% 0.0%
13 3.2% 0.0%
14 0.9% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.