Providence Friars NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

84.2%

Automatic Bid

6.3%

At Large Bid

77.9%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (12.1%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.7%
21 97.6%
20 87.8%
19 51.1%
18 12.7%
17 0.9%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 84.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 0.3%
2 2.9% 0.2%
3 7.1% 0.1%
4 10.2% 0.1%
5 11.4% 0.0%
6 12.1% 0.0%
7 12.0% 0.0%
8 10.1% 0.0%
9 7.6% 0.0%
10 5.1% 0.0%
11 3.2% 0.0%
12 1.7% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.