St. John's Red Storm NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

40.0%

Automatic Bid

4.2%

At Large Bid

35.8%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.3%)

Final Four

0.3%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 98.8%
22 93.7%
21 70.8%
20 32.1%
19 6.0%
18 0.7%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 40.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.6% 0.1%
4 1.3% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.0%
6 3.3% 0.0%
7 2.9% 0.0%
8 2.7% 0.0%
9 3.2% 0.0%
10 3.9% 0.0%
11 5.1% 0.0%
12 7.3% 0.0%
13 4.9% 0.0%
14 1.8% 0.0%
15 0.4% 0.0%
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.