Utah Utes NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

34.1%

At Large Bid

65.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (29.4%)

Final Four

13.7%

NCAA Champs

2.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 97.6%
21 68.3%
20 27.5%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.8% 5.5%
2 18.4% 3.7%
3 29.4% 2.7%
4 22.2% 1.9%
5 13.2% 1.4%
6 7.1% 1.2%
7 3.5% 1.0%
8 1.7% 0.8%
9 0.8% 0.8%
10 0.4% 0.3%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.