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North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View North Carolina bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

99.2%

Automatic Bid

15.8%

At Large Bid

83.4%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (17.8%)

Final Four

16.5%

NCAA Champs

3.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 98.9%
19 85.8%
18 65.1%
17 6.8%
16 2.5%
OVERALL 99.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.5% 9.7%
2 12.6% 6.8%
3 17.0% 4.3%
4 17.8% 3.1%
5 16.2% 2.4%
6 13.1% 1.7%
7 7.4% 1.2%
8 3.4% 0.9%
9 1.9% 0.7%
10 1.3% 0.7%
11 1.1% 0.7%
12 1.2% 0.5%
13 0.6% 0.4%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.