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North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View North Carolina bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

97.0%

Automatic Bid

13.0%

At Large Bid

84.0%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (15.0%)

Final Four

14.3%

NCAA Champs

2.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 98.6%
20 92.2%
19 69.6%
18 27.8%
17 6.2%
16 2.3%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 97.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.0% 10.5%
2 11.1% 5.8%
3 13.6% 4.2%
4 14.9% 2.6%
5 15.0% 1.7%
6 13.7% 1.3%
7 7.8% 0.9%
8 3.5% 0.8%
9 2.3% 0.5%
10 2.1% 0.5%
11 2.1% 0.5%
12 2.5% 0.3%
13 1.6% 0.3%
14 0.6% 0.2%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.