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North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View North Carolina bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

95.5%

Automatic Bid

14.7%

At Large Bid

80.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (13.5%)

Final Four

16.3%

NCAA Champs

4.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 97.6%
19 86.2%
18 58.0%
17 15.4%
16 4.1%
15 0.1%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 95.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.5% 12.8%
2 12.5% 7.8%
3 13.5% 4.7%
4 13.2% 3.2%
5 13.4% 2.3%
6 13.3% 1.5%
7 7.7% 1.0%
8 3.1% 0.8%
9 2.0% 0.6%
10 1.9% 0.4%
11 2.0% 0.4%
12 2.5% 0.2%
13 1.4% 0.2%
14 0.4% 0.2%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.