North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

0.0%

At Large Bid

99.9%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (16.8%)

Final Four

3.8%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 99.7%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.7% 0.7%
4 3.6% 0.6%
5 9.3% 0.6%
6 14.7% 0.5%
7 16.8% 0.4%
8 15.8% 0.4%
9 13.5% 0.4%
10 10.7% 0.4%
11 7.9% 0.4%
12 5.2% 0.3%
13 1.3% 0.3%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.