Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

  • Atlantic Coast Conference teams:
  • All teams:
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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

6.7%

At Large Bid

93.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (23.9%)

Final Four

5.3%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 98.2%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 1.7% 0.9%
3 13.3% 0.7%
4 21.9% 0.6%
5 23.9% 0.5%
6 18.2% 0.4%
7 10.6% 0.4%
8 5.5% 0.3%
9 2.7% 0.4%
10 1.3% 0.4%
11 0.6% 0.5%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.