Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.8%

Automatic Bid

9.0%

At Large Bid

90.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (23.7%)

Final Four

8.1%

NCAA Champs

1.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 97.3%
23 75.1%
22 44.5%
OVERALL 99.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 2.5%
2 12.9% 1.7%
3 23.7% 1.3%
4 21.6% 0.9%
5 16.2% 0.7%
6 11.2% 0.5%
7 6.5% 0.5%
8 3.2% 0.3%
9 1.5% 0.3%
10 0.7% 0.3%
11 0.3% 0.2%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.