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Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Notre Dame bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

52.1%

Automatic Bid

3.0%

At Large Bid

49.1%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (8.9%)

Final Four

2.8%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.6%
25 93.6%
24 75.1%
23 37.4%
22 9.6%
21 1.5%
20 0.1%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 52.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 2.1%
2 3.0% 1.2%
3 3.4% 0.7%
4 2.9% 0.4%
5 2.7% 0.5%
6 4.9% 0.4%
7 8.9% 0.2%
8 7.9% 0.2%
9 5.8% 0.1%
10 4.3% 0.1%
11 3.3% 0.1%
12 2.4% 0.1%
13 0.8% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.