Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

45.7%

Automatic Bid

1.7%

At Large Bid

44.0%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (7.3%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.6%
25 93.8%
24 69.0%
23 25.6%
22 3.9%
21 0.3%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 45.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 0.5%
3 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 0.3%
5 2.0% 0.2%
6 4.0% 0.2%
7 6.8% 0.1%
8 7.3% 0.1%
9 6.6% 0.1%
10 5.7% 0.0%
11 4.8% 0.1%
12 4.1% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.