Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

57.7%

Automatic Bid

3.4%

At Large Bid

54.3%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (8.8%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 98.6%
21 89.4%
20 56.8%
19 17.0%
18 2.7%
17 0.2%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 57.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.8%
3 1.1% 0.7%
4 2.1% 0.3%
5 3.4% 0.3%
6 4.5% 0.2%
7 4.7% 0.2%
8 5.3% 0.1%
9 6.1% 0.1%
10 6.6% 0.1%
11 7.3% 0.1%
12 8.8% 0.0%
13 5.2% 0.0%
14 1.6% 0.0%
15 0.3% 0.0%
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.