Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

64.6%

Automatic Bid

3.3%

At Large Bid

61.3%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.5%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.0%
21 92.7%
20 65.7%
19 21.1%
18 2.2%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 64.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.8% 0.2%
5 3.2% 0.2%
6 5.1% 0.1%
7 7.4% 0.1%
8 9.0% 0.1%
9 9.5% 0.1%
10 9.2% 0.1%
11 8.6% 0.0%
12 7.3% 0.0%
13 2.2% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.