Wichita St. Shockers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.8%

Automatic Bid

55.9%

At Large Bid

43.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (29.1%)

Final Four

6.3%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.4%
25 94.2%
24 66.2%
23 31.7%
22 12.0%
OVERALL 99.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.1% 1.6%
2 12.7% 1.1%
3 29.1% 0.8%
4 26.1% 0.5%
5 15.8% 0.4%
6 8.1% 0.3%
7 3.8% 0.3%
8 1.7% 0.1%
9 0.7% 0.1%
10 0.3% 0.1%
11 0.1% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.