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Florida Gators NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

83.7%

Automatic Bid

10.6%

At Large Bid

73.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (10.8%)

Final Four

4.9%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.3%
21 85.8%
20 56.0%
19 15.2%
18 1.5%
17 0.2%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 83.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 3.6%
2 2.1% 2.2%
3 5.6% 1.6%
4 9.3% 1.0%
5 10.8% 0.7%
6 9.8% 0.6%
7 8.9% 0.4%
8 8.6% 0.3%
9 7.7% 0.3%
10 6.7% 0.2%
11 5.9% 0.2%
12 5.3% 0.1%
13 2.2% 0.1%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.