NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2015

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Projected Seed Current & Projected Record Bracketology Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid 1 Seed
Massachusetts Lowell (12-17) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (16-15) 16-15 6% 6% 0%
Bryant (15-14) 15-14 11% 11% 0%
North Dakota (8-21) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (13-17) 14-17 10% 10% 0%
Incarnate Word (17-9) 19-9 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (10-21) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (16-11) 16-12 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (13-17) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
15 60 S Dakota St (21-9) 21-9 44% 44% 0%
Neb Omaha (12-17) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (16-14) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (22-10) 22-10 18% 18% 0%
N Dakota St (20-9) 20-9 12% 12% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (22-9) 22-9 20% 20% 0%
Longwood (9-22) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (14-13) 14-14 9% 9% 0%
Houston Bap (11-15) 12-16 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (10-18) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
16 63 N Florida (21-11) 21-11 60% 60% 0%
Central Ark (2-25) 2-27 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (12-15) 12-15 1% 1% 0%
15 59 NC Central (23-6) 24-6 63% 63% 0%
Abilene Christian (10-19) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (14-14) 15-14 5% 5% 0%
Kennesaw St (10-22) 10-22 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (12-18) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
Alabama (17-13) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
7 26 LSU (21-8) 22-9 77% 2% 0%
Miss State (12-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
4 16 Arkansas (23-6) 24-7 100% 6% 0%
9 36 Mississippi (20-10) 21-10 80% 3% 0%
S Carolina (14-14) 15-15 1% 0% 0%
Florida (15-15) 15-16 5% 3% 0%
10 38 Georgia (19-10) 20-10 72% 2% 0%
Tennessee (14-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (17-12) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (30-0) 31-0 100% 79% 99%
13 51 Ste F Austin (25-4) 27-4 61% 56% 0%
Texas State (13-14) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
McNeese St (13-15) 14-15 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (16-12) 17-13 4% 4% 0%
SE Louisiana (9-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
NW State (17-10) 18-11 3% 3% 0%
Sam Hous St (23-6) 24-7 39% 39% 0%
Nicholls St (8-18) 9-19 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (15-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (13-14) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
LA Monroe (19-10) 20-11 9% 9% 0%
TX-Pan Am (9-19) 10-20 1% 1% 0%
TX A&M-CC (16-12) 18-12 2% 2% 0%
Savannah St (9-20) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (16-13) 16-13 11% 11% 0%
Columbia (13-13) 14-14 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (13-15) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (13-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
Yale (21-8) 22-9 27% 26% 0%
Dartmouth (12-14) 13-15 0% 0% 0%
12 49 Harvard (20-6) 22-6 75% 74% 0%
U Penn (7-18) 8-20 0% 0% 0%
Brown (13-16) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (18-12) 18-12 1% 1% 0%
Wright State (11-20) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (11-21) 11-21 0% 0% 0%
6 23 Butler (21-9) 21-10 100% 14% 0%
WI-Milwkee (14-16) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (9-23) 9-23 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (23-7) 23-7 40% 38% 0%
Cleveland St (17-13) 17-13 7% 7% 0%
Detroit (15-17) 15-17 1% 1% 0%
Radford (21-10) 21-10 10% 10% 0%
Charl South (19-10) 19-10 15% 15% 0%
Winthrop (17-12) 17-12 10% 10% 0%
15 62 Coastal Car (21-9) 21-9 44% 44% 0%
VA Military (11-18) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
Liberty (8-23) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
High Point (22-8) 22-8 14% 14% 0%
NC-Asheville (14-15) 14-15 3% 3% 0%
Hawaii (19-11) 20-12 9% 9% 0%
Fresno St (14-15) 15-16 1% 1% 0%
Nevada (9-19) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
5 20 S Methodist (23-6) 24-6 100% 32% 0%
LA Tech (23-7) 24-7 28% 24% 0%
Rice (10-18) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (19-9) 21-9 21% 21% 0%
10 37 Tulsa (21-7) 22-8 95% 11% 0%
11 43 Boise State (22-7) 24-7 72% 27% 0%
San Jose St (2-26) 2-28 0% 0% 0%
7 25 Georgetown (19-9) 20-9 100% 12% 0%
5 18 Providence (20-9) 21-10 99% 6% 0%
8 32 St Johns (20-9) 21-10 90% 4% 0%
Rutgers (10-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (19-11) 20-12 30% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (18-11) 19-12 14% 1% 0%
Connecticut (17-11) 18-12 49% 27% 0%
VA Tech (10-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
5 17 Notre Dame (24-5) 25-6 100% 6% 0%
1 2 Villanova (28-2) 29-2 100% 53% 76%
6 22 W Virginia (22-8) 23-8 100% 8% 0%
Syracuse (18-12) 18-13 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (11-18) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (16-12) 17-13 2% 1% 0%
Pepperdine (17-12) 17-12 1% 1% 0%
Santa Clara (13-17) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (13-17) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
2 8 Gonzaga (29-2) 29-2 100% 71% 1%
Loyola Mymt (8-22) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (15-15) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
St Marys (21-8) 21-8 17% 5% 0%
Portland (16-14) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
Austin Peay (8-22) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (19-10) 19-10 27% 27% 0%
TN Tech (12-18) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (18-11) 18-11 5% 5% 0%
E Illinois (16-13) 16-13 1% 1% 0%
13 54 Murray St (26-4) 26-4 52% 49% 0%
SE Missouri (13-16) 13-16 1% 1% 0%
Morehead St (15-16) 15-16 5% 5% 0%
Jksnville St (12-19) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
TN State (5-26) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Samford (13-18) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Nebraska (13-15) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
3 10 Baylor (22-8) 23-8 100% 15% 0%
Missouri (9-21) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (13-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
2 7 Kansas (24-6) 24-7 100% 24% 8%
11 44 Texas A&M (20-9) 21-9 64% 2% 0%
Colorado (13-15) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
3 9 Iowa State (21-8) 22-8 100% 18% 0%
Kansas St (15-15) 15-16 10% 1% 0%
12 46 Texas (18-12) 19-12 58% 10% 0%
11 41 Oklahoma St (17-11) 18-12 70% 4% 0%
3 12 Oklahoma (20-9) 21-9 100% 20% 0%
Florida Intl (13-16) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (18-10) 19-11 5% 5% 0%
AR Lit Rock (13-16) 13-17 1% 1% 0%
Arkansas St (11-16) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (15-14) 16-15 2% 2% 0%
LA Lafayette (17-12) 19-12 14% 14% 0%
New Orleans (9-16) 10-17 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (9-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (14-14) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
Denver (12-17) 12-17 10% 10% 0%
15 61 N Mex State (19-10) 21-10 70% 70% 0%
Idaho State (6-22) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (16-13) 17-14 10% 10% 0%
Sac State (19-8) 20-9 10% 10% 0%
Weber State (12-15) 13-16 3% 3% 0%
Montana (17-11) 18-11 15% 15% 0%
Montana St (7-22) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (14-12) 15-13 3% 3% 0%
14 58 E Washingtn (21-8) 22-9 48% 48% 0%
Wyoming (20-8) 21-9 4% 4% 0%
4 15 Utah (22-6) 24-6 100% 35% 0%
Colorado St (24-5) 25-6 48% 17% 0%
New Mexico (14-15) 15-15 3% 3% 0%
10 40 San Diego St (22-7) 24-7 79% 27% 0%
UNLV (16-13) 17-14 16% 16% 0%
10 39 BYU (23-8) 23-8 85% 20% 0%
Air Force (13-15) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
14 56 Albany (21-8) 21-8 45% 45% 0%
Maine (3-26) 3-26 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (17-12) 17-12 35% 35% 0%
Binghamton (6-25) 6-25 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (18-11) 18-11 5% 5% 0%
Boston U (13-16) 13-16 4% 4% 0%
Maryland BC (4-25) 4-25 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (14-15) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
Northeastrn (20-11) 20-11 25% 25% 0%
Stony Brook (21-10) 21-10 14% 14% 0%
Illinois St (19-11) 19-11 6% 6% 0%
Drake (9-21) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
6 21 N Iowa (27-3) 27-3 100% 35% 0%
Missouri St (11-19) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (8-23) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (13-17) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
3 11 Wichita St (27-3) 27-3 100% 53% 0%
S Illinois (11-20) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (19-11) 19-11 3% 3% 0%
Indiana St (15-15) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
Delaware St (14-16) 15-16 2% 2% 0%
NC A&T (9-21) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (12-16) 12-17 3% 3% 0%
Beth-Cook (10-20) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (7-22) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (10-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Howard (16-14) 17-14 5% 5% 0%
Maryland ES (17-13) 18-13 9% 9% 0%
Coppin State (7-21) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (18-12) 19-12 16% 16% 0%
Florida A&M (1-27) 1-28 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (10-19) 10-19 2% 2% 0%
Geo Mason (9-19) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (11-18) 11-18 1% 1% 0%
James Mad (19-12) 19-12 4% 4% 0%
14 57 Old Dominion (22-6) 24-6 37% 26% 0%
16 67 Hofstra (19-12) 19-12 26% 26% 0%
7 27 VCU (21-8) 22-9 97% 30% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (17-12) 17-12 12% 12% 0%
Wm & Mary (18-11) 18-11 26% 26% 0%
Towson (12-19) 12-19 1% 1% 0%
Citadel (11-18) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
11 42 Davidson (21-6) 22-7 69% 20% 0%
13 53 Wofford (25-6) 25-6 50% 41% 0%
Col Charlestn (8-23) 8-23 1% 1% 0%
Furman (8-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (20-7) 21-8 15% 15% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (10-21) 10-21 1% 1% 0%
Elon (14-17) 14-17 2% 2% 0%
Chattanooga (22-9) 22-9 21% 21% 0%
W Carolina (14-16) 14-16 4% 4% 0%
E Tenn St (16-13) 16-13 11% 11% 0%
App State (10-17) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (19-10) 19-10 10% 10% 0%
Campbell (10-21) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (8-19) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (10-22) 10-22 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (9-22) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (14-16) 14-16 2% 2% 0%
14 55 Georgia St (20-9) 22-9 55% 55% 0%
Gard-Webb (18-13) 18-13 2% 2% 0%
Central FL (12-16) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (17-14) 17-14 15% 15% 0%
Troy (10-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (17-12) 18-13 3% 2% 0%
Fordham (9-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (20-8) 21-8 15% 11% 0%
St Josephs (12-16) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (15-12) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
11 45 Temple (20-9) 21-10 70% 7% 0%
Duquesne (10-17) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
9 35 Dayton (23-6) 24-6 83% 18% 0%
9 34 Xavier (18-12) 19-12 75% 9% 0%
La Salle (15-14) 16-15 2% 2% 0%
Richmond (17-12) 18-13 15% 8% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (18-11) 19-12 6% 6% 0%
Alabama St (16-9) 17-10 0% 0% 0%
Southern (15-15) 16-16 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (10-19) 11-20 16% 16% 0%
Prairie View (13-16) 14-17 20% 20% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (11-20) 12-20 6% 6% 0%
16 64 TX Southern (17-12) 19-12 52% 52% 0%
Miss Val St (6-24) 6-25 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (2-24) 2-26 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (8-18) 9-19 4% 4% 0%
Alcorn State (5-23) 5-25 1% 1% 0%
Ohio (9-19) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (11-18) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Akron (18-12) 18-13 4% 4% 0%
12 48 Buffalo (20-9) 21-9 59% 36% 0%
Miami (OH) (13-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (20-10) 21-10 7% 7% 0%
N Illinois (13-15) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (18-12) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
Bowling Grn (19-9) 19-10 6% 6% 0%
Toledo (19-11) 20-11 21% 20% 0%
W Michigan (18-12) 19-12 2% 2% 0%
Ball State (7-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (22-6) 22-7 28% 24% 0%
Mt St Marys (15-14) 15-14 8% 8% 0%
St Fran (PA) (15-14) 15-14 5% 5% 0%
Central Conn (5-26) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (15-14) 15-14 8% 8% 0%
Rob Morris (16-14) 16-14 26% 26% 0%
F Dickinson (8-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (12-17) 12-17 1% 1% 0%
Monmouth (17-14) 17-14 7% 7% 0%
Sacred Hrt (15-16) 15-16 3% 3% 0%
Wagner (10-19) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
16 65 St Fran (NY) (21-10) 21-10 44% 44% 0%
Oakland (16-15) 16-15 6% 6% 0%
UMKC (13-17) 14-17 8% 8% 0%
13 52 Valparaiso (26-5) 26-5 51% 48% 0%
Oral Roberts (17-13) 17-13 14% 14% 0%
IUPUI (10-20) 10-20 3% 3% 0%
W Illinois (8-19) 8-19 1% 1% 0%
S Utah (9-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (8-22) 8-23 1% 1% 0%
Cal Poly (13-14) 13-15 7% 7% 0%
UC Davis (22-5) 23-6 17% 16% 0%
Lg Beach St (14-16) 15-17 16% 16% 0%
UC Riverside (14-14) 15-15 2% 2% 0%
UCSB (16-12) 17-13 24% 24% 0%
Utah State (18-10) 19-11 4% 4% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (9-22) 9-23 1% 1% 0%
16 68 UC Irvine (17-11) 18-12 25% 25% 0%
Idaho (13-14) 14-15 6% 6% 0%
CS Fullerton (9-20) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (12-18) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (17-12) 17-12 12% 12% 0%
Army (15-15) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
16 66 Colgate (15-16) 15-16 30% 30% 0%
Navy (13-18) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Lehigh (15-13) 15-13 15% 15% 0%
American (15-15) 15-15 7% 7% 0%
Bucknell (18-13) 18-13 28% 28% 0%
Holy Cross (14-15) 14-15 3% 3% 0%
2 6 Wisconsin (26-3) 27-4 100% 43% 30%
12 47 Purdue (19-10) 20-11 48% 3% 0%
6 24 Iowa (20-10) 21-10 97% 7% 0%
Michigan (14-15) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (15-14) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
7 28 Ohio State (21-8) 22-9 92% 24% 0%
8 31 Michigan St (19-10) 20-11 89% 10% 0%
Indiana (19-11) 19-12 41% 2% 0%
Illinois (18-11) 19-12 23% 3% 0%
Minnesota (17-12) 18-13 3% 2% 0%
Northwestern (15-15) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (11-17) 12-18 1% 1% 0%
Tulane (14-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (9-19) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (12-18) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (17-12) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
UAB (16-13) 17-14 15% 15% 0%
S Florida (8-21) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (17-12) 18-13 9% 8% 0%
E Carolina (13-16) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
4 14 Louisville (23-6) 24-7 100% 12% 0%
Houston (10-18) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
8 30 Cincinnati (20-9) 21-10 85% 14% 0%
Charlotte (13-16) 15-16 4% 4% 0%
Saint Louis (11-18) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (12-16) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
8 29 Oregon (22-8) 23-8 89% 3% 0%
USC (11-18) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (18-12) 19-12 39% 2% 0%
Oregon St (17-12) 17-13 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (18-10) 19-11 18% 3% 0%
California (17-12) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
Washington (15-13) 16-14 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (15-14) 16-15 1% 1% 0%
1 3 Arizona (26-3) 28-3 100% 54% 75%
Florida St (15-15) 16-15 0% 0% 0%
1 4 Virginia (28-1) 28-2 100% 28% 67%
Clemson (16-13) 16-14 1% 0% 0%
4 13 Maryland (25-5) 26-5 100% 6% 0%
9 33 NC State (18-12) 19-12 85% 1% 0%
2 5 Duke (26-3) 27-4 100% 37% 44%
Wake Forest (13-16) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (12-18) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
5 19 N Carolina (21-9) 22-9 100% 14% 0%
Fairfield (7-23) 7-23 1% 1% 0%
Manhattan (16-13) 16-13 12% 12% 0%
12 50 Iona (24-7) 24-7 55% 40% 0%
Rider (21-10) 21-10 11% 11% 0%
St Peters (14-17) 14-17 5% 5% 0%
Loyola-MD (11-19) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (16-13) 16-13 10% 10% 0%
Siena (10-19) 10-19 5% 5% 0%
Marist (6-24) 6-24 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (8-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%

Most Likely 1 Seeds

Team 1-Seed%
Kentucky 99.0%
Villanova 75.6%
Arizona 75.1%
Virginia 67.2%
Duke 43.5%

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Most Likely Auto Bids

Team Auto%
Kentucky 79.0%
Harvard 74.0%
Gonzaga 71.3%
N Mex State 70.0%
NC Central 63.5%

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Current Bubble Teams

Team NCAA Bid%
Texas 57.6%
Purdue 47.8%
Harvard 74.8%
Indiana 41.1%
Davidson 69.0%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
BYU 84.6% 37.5%
Dayton 83.5% 34.7%
Boise State 71.9% 32.1%
Oregon 88.9% 31.7%
Iowa 96.9% 30.8%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Indiana 41.1% -40.9%
Stanford 18.1% -27.7%
Fla Gulf Cst 19.7% -21.2%
Toledo 20.6% -21.1%
Iona 55.2% -18.8%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
N Florida 60.0% 19.5%
St Fran (NY) 43.8% 16.3%
Buffalo 35.9% 13.4%
Valparaiso 48.1% 12.4%
Rob Morris 26.0% 9.3%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Fla Gulf Cst 19.7% -21.2%
Cleveland St 6.8% -13.0%
Toledo 19.9% -11.6%
St Fran (PA) 5.3% -7.0%
San Diego St 27.4% -5.4%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Arizona 75.1% 31.1%
Villanova 75.6% 21.9%
Wisconsin 29.6% 7.7%
Kentucky 99.0% 0.8%
Virginia 67.2% 0.7%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Gonzaga 1.4% -51.1%
Duke 43.5% -8.0%
Iowa State 0.2% -2.6%
Oklahoma 0.1% -0.7%
Utah 0.0% -0.2%

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Iowa 6.9 -1.6
BYU 9.4 -1.6
Baylor 3.6 -1.3
Oregon 7.9 -1.3
N Carolina 5.7 -1.3

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
VCU 7.5 1.9
Michigan St 8.1 1.5
San Diego St 9.3 1.4
Toledo 12.6 1.4
Rhode Island 11.3 1.3

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