NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2015

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Projected Seed Current & Projected Record Bracketology Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid 1 Seed
Massachusetts Lowell (9-12) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (10-11) 15-16 7% 7% 0%
Bryant (9-9) 14-15 14% 14% 0%
North Dakota (6-12) 11-19 1% 1% 0%
CS Bakersfld (7-14) 13-17 11% 11% 0%
Incarnate Word (11-5) 19-9 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (7-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (12-10) 16-12 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (9-11) 14-15 0% 0% 0%
16 64 S Dakota St (15-7) 21-9 36% 36% 0%
Neb Omaha (8-11) 12-17 4% 4% 0%
Grand Canyon (11-10) 16-15 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (14-7) 21-10 21% 21% 0%
N Dakota St (13-7) 18-11 13% 13% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (14-7) 20-10 28% 28% 0%
Longwood (6-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (10-9) 15-13 10% 10% 0%
Houston Bap (9-8) 12-16 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (7-11) 12-17 4% 4% 0%
15 62 N Florida (13-9) 20-11 46% 46% 0%
Central Ark (0-18) 1-28 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (8-11) 11-16 0% 0% 0%
14 58 NC Central (16-5) 24-6 60% 60% 0%
Abilene Christian (9-11) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (9-9) 16-13 9% 9% 0%
Kennesaw St (6-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (10-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Alabama (13-7) 19-12 16% 1% 0%
9 36 LSU (15-4) 21-10 58% 1% 0%
Miss State (9-10) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
7 26 Arkansas (16-4) 23-8 89% 4% 0%
10 40 Mississippi (12-7) 20-11 58% 2% 0%
S Carolina (10-8) 16-14 7% 1% 0%
12 46 Florida (11-9) 18-13 56% 5% 0%
9 34 Georgia (14-5) 20-10 76% 2% 0%
Tennessee (12-7) 17-13 12% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (11-9) 16-15 1% 0% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (19-0) 30-1 100% 82% 99%
13 51 Ste F Austin (17-3) 27-4 66% 56% 0%
Texas State (10-9) 15-14 2% 2% 0%
McNeese St (7-11) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (12-7) 18-12 11% 11% 0%
SE Louisiana (5-14) 13-18 2% 2% 0%
NW State (10-9) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
Sam Hous St (15-5) 24-7 38% 38% 0%
Nicholls St (5-12) 8-20 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (10-10) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (9-9) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (12-8) 18-13 4% 4% 0%
TX-Pan Am (8-13) 10-20 1% 1% 0%
TX A&M-CC (11-8) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
Savannah St (5-15) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (9-11) 13-16 5% 5% 0%
Columbia (9-7) 16-12 10% 10% 0%
Cornell (9-9) 15-15 3% 3% 0%
Princeton (8-9) 14-16 6% 6% 0%
13 54 Yale (13-6) 21-10 44% 44% 0%
Dartmouth (8-8) 14-14 5% 5% 0%
Harvard (11-5) 19-9 33% 32% 0%
U Penn (5-10) 9-19 0% 0% 0%
Brown (9-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (13-7) 18-12 1% 1% 0%
Wright State (11-10) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
Youngs St (10-13) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
6 21 Butler (15-6) 22-9 93% 17% 0%
WI-Milwkee (7-14) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (5-16) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
12 47 WI-Grn Bay (17-4) 24-6 62% 51% 0%
Cleveland St (12-10) 18-13 15% 15% 0%
Detroit (10-12) 15-16 2% 2% 0%
Radford (14-7) 20-11 11% 11% 0%
Charl South (12-7) 18-11 10% 10% 0%
Winthrop (10-9) 16-13 6% 6% 0%
15 59 Coastal Car (15-5) 22-8 47% 47% 0%
VA Military (8-13) 13-16 7% 7% 0%
Liberty (6-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
High Point (16-5) 22-8 14% 14% 0%
NC-Asheville (9-10) 15-14 6% 6% 0%
Hawaii (14-7) 19-13 5% 5% 0%
Fresno St (10-11) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Nevada (6-13) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
5 20 S Methodist (16-4) 23-7 97% 29% 0%
LA Tech (15-5) 23-8 28% 21% 0%
Rice (6-12) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (12-7) 21-9 26% 22% 0%
10 37 Tulsa (15-5) 21-9 75% 9% 0%
Boise State (15-6) 22-9 29% 15% 0%
San Jose St (2-17) 3-27 0% 0% 0%
8 31 Georgetown (14-6) 19-10 89% 11% 0%
6 23 Providence (15-5) 21-11 84% 7% 0%
St Johns (13-6) 19-12 29% 4% 0%
Rutgers (10-11) 12-20 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (13-8) 17-15 2% 0% 0%
8 32 Miami (FL) (14-5) 21-10 75% 1% 0%
12 48 Connecticut (11-7) 18-12 61% 29% 0%
VA Tech (9-11) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
4 16 Notre Dame (19-2) 26-5 98% 7% 1%
2 8 Villanova (18-2) 27-4 100% 43% 17%
4 15 W Virginia (17-3) 23-8 96% 15% 1%
Syracuse (14-7) 18-13 23% 1% 0%
Boston Col (9-9) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (13-6) 18-12 26% 3% 0%
Pepperdine (12-8) 16-13 1% 1% 0%
Santa Clara (11-10) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (9-12) 13-17 1% 1% 0%
2 5 Gonzaga (20-1) 29-2 100% 76% 21%
Loyola Mymt (6-15) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (10-11) 14-16 1% 1% 0%
St Marys (16-4) 22-7 50% 5% 0%
Portland (12-9) 16-14 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (7-13) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (11-8) 18-11 19% 19% 0%
TN Tech (10-11) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
TN Martin (12-7) 18-11 5% 5% 0%
E Illinois (12-8) 17-12 3% 3% 0%
12 50 Murray St (17-4) 25-5 56% 50% 0%
SE Missouri (9-11) 13-16 1% 1% 0%
Morehead St (9-13) 15-16 8% 8% 0%
Jksnville St (9-13) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
TN State (3-18) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Samford (9-14) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (12-8) 15-15 2% 0% 0%
7 27 Baylor (15-5) 21-10 85% 7% 0%
Missouri (7-12) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (11-9) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
2 7 Kansas (16-3) 24-7 100% 25% 24%
Texas A&M (14-5) 20-10 45% 1% 0%
Colorado (10-9) 16-14 9% 3% 0%
4 14 Iowa State (15-4) 21-9 97% 14% 3%
Kansas St (12-9) 15-16 12% 1% 0%
7 25 Texas (14-6) 21-10 90% 16% 0%
11 43 Oklahoma St (14-6) 19-11 64% 5% 0%
5 19 Oklahoma (12-7) 19-11 92% 15% 0%
Florida Intl (9-9) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (14-5) 21-9 22% 13% 0%
AR Lit Rock (7-12) 11-19 1% 1% 0%
Arkansas St (9-10) 13-16 1% 1% 0%
Middle Tenn (12-8) 18-13 4% 4% 0%
LA Lafayette (11-9) 19-12 19% 19% 0%
New Orleans (6-10) 11-16 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (6-14) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (8-11) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Denver (9-11) 14-15 14% 14% 0%
15 60 N Mex State (12-10) 20-11 68% 68% 0%
Idaho State (5-15) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (9-11) 15-16 8% 8% 0%
Sac State (13-6) 19-10 10% 10% 0%
Weber State (8-11) 14-15 14% 14% 0%
Montana (10-8) 16-13 14% 14% 0%
Montana St (4-15) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (10-8) 15-13 3% 3% 0%
14 57 E Washingtn (15-5) 23-8 35% 34% 0%
Wyoming (16-4) 22-8 12% 7% 0%
3 11 Utah (16-3) 25-5 100% 34% 3%
9 35 Colorado St (18-3) 25-6 67% 20% 0%
New Mexico (13-7) 19-11 9% 7% 0%
8 30 San Diego St (16-5) 24-7 83% 32% 0%
UNLV (12-9) 18-13 17% 16% 0%
12 45 BYU (15-7) 22-9 56% 16% 0%
Air Force (8-11) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
16 65 Albany (12-7) 19-10 34% 34% 0%
Maine (2-18) 4-25 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (11-9) 17-12 33% 33% 0%
Binghamton (2-20) 4-27 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (11-9) 16-13 4% 4% 0%
Boston U (8-11) 13-16 4% 4% 0%
Maryland BC (3-17) 6-23 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (11-9) 16-13 3% 3% 0%
Northeastrn (14-7) 21-10 20% 19% 0%
Stony Brook (14-8) 21-10 26% 26% 0%
Illinois St (12-8) 18-12 9% 7% 0%
Drake (4-16) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
7 28 N Iowa (18-2) 25-5 92% 26% 0%
Missouri St (8-12) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (7-14) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (9-12) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
3 9 Wichita St (18-2) 27-3 100% 57% 2%
S Illinois (9-12) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (16-5) 22-8 16% 8% 0%
Indiana St (10-11) 14-16 1% 1% 0%
Delaware St (10-10) 16-15 5% 5% 0%
NC A&T (5-17) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (8-12) 12-17 3% 3% 0%
Beth-Cook (6-15) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (4-16) 8-22 1% 1% 0%
S Car State (7-15) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Howard (10-10) 15-16 3% 3% 0%
Maryland ES (12-10) 17-14 6% 6% 0%
Coppin State (3-17) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (14-9) 20-11 21% 21% 0%
Florida A&M (0-20) 1-28 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (4-15) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (6-12) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (5-14) 8-21 1% 1% 0%
James Mad (12-9) 17-14 5% 5% 0%
10 39 Old Dominion (15-4) 24-6 54% 26% 0%
15 61 Hofstra (14-7) 21-10 34% 34% 0%
3 10 VCU (17-3) 26-5 100% 40% 2%
NC-Wilmgton (11-8) 17-12 9% 9% 0%
Wm & Mary (12-7) 19-10 28% 26% 0%
Towson (9-12) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Citadel (8-12) 11-18 1% 1% 0%
11 44 Davidson (14-4) 22-7 61% 16% 0%
14 56 Wofford (16-5) 23-8 40% 37% 0%
Col Charlestn (6-15) 10-21 2% 2% 0%
Furman (6-13) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
GA Southern (13-4) 21-8 16% 15% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (6-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Elon (11-10) 15-16 4% 4% 0%
Chattanooga (14-7) 20-11 17% 17% 0%
W Carolina (9-12) 13-18 3% 3% 0%
E Tenn St (12-7) 18-11 16% 16% 0%
App State (8-10) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (13-7) 19-10 12% 12% 0%
Campbell (8-14) 12-19 1% 1% 0%
Fla Atlantic (8-8) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
Jacksonville (7-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (5-15) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (10-10) 14-15 4% 4% 0%
14 55 Georgia St (13-7) 22-9 47% 47% 0%
Gard-Webb (13-9) 18-13 4% 4% 0%
Central FL (9-10) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (11-10) 17-14 17% 17% 0%
Troy (7-11) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (10-9) 17-14 4% 2% 0%
Fordham (5-12) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (13-5) 20-9 18% 8% 0%
St Josephs (8-11) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (11-7) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
Temple (13-7) 19-12 28% 4% 0%
Duquesne (6-12) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
11 42 Dayton (16-3) 23-7 60% 13% 0%
6 24 Xavier (14-7) 20-11 86% 13% 0%
La Salle (11-9) 16-15 2% 2% 0%
Richmond (10-9) 17-14 8% 4% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (16-5) 22-9 43% 12% 0%
Alabama St (11-5) 19-8 0% 0% 0%
Southern (9-13) 16-16 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (5-15) 12-19 14% 14% 0%
Prairie View (5-15) 11-20 8% 8% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (6-15) 12-20 12% 12% 0%
16 63 TX Southern (9-11) 18-13 58% 58% 0%
Miss Val St (2-18) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (2-15) 4-24 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (5-12) 9-19 6% 6% 0%
Alcorn State (4-16) 7-23 2% 2% 0%
Ohio (7-11) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (5-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Akron (14-6) 20-11 15% 14% 0%
13 53 Buffalo (13-6) 20-10 48% 25% 0%
Miami (OH) (7-13) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (15-5) 20-11 12% 10% 0%
N Illinois (8-10) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (13-7) 19-12 3% 3% 0%
Bowling Grn (13-5) 19-10 16% 10% 0%
Toledo (12-8) 19-12 17% 14% 0%
W Michigan (13-7) 19-12 5% 5% 0%
Ball State (7-11) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (14-4) 21-8 23% 17% 0%
Mt St Marys (9-10) 14-15 9% 9% 0%
St Fran (PA) (10-9) 17-12 18% 18% 0%
Central Conn (3-18) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (11-8) 17-12 7% 7% 0%
Rob Morris (10-10) 17-13 17% 17% 0%
F Dickinson (7-12) 11-18 1% 1% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (7-12) 11-18 4% 4% 0%
Monmouth (11-10) 16-15 8% 8% 0%
Sacred Hrt (9-12) 14-17 8% 8% 0%
Wagner (6-13) 10-19 5% 5% 0%
16 67 St Fran (NY) (12-9) 19-12 23% 23% 0%
Oakland (9-12) 14-17 2% 2% 0%
UMKC (8-13) 13-18 6% 6% 0%
Valparaiso (19-4) 25-6 30% 28% 0%
Oral Roberts (11-10) 16-14 16% 16% 0%
IUPUI (8-13) 12-18 4% 4% 0%
W Illinois (7-11) 9-18 1% 1% 0%
S Utah (5-13) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (4-17) 7-24 1% 1% 0%
Cal Poly (10-8) 15-13 9% 9% 0%
UC Davis (14-4) 19-10 6% 6% 0%
Lg Beach St (10-11) 18-14 26% 24% 0%
UC Riverside (9-11) 12-18 1% 1% 0%
UCSB (10-9) 17-13 26% 26% 0%
Utah State (12-8) 17-13 2% 2% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (6-15) 9-22 1% 1% 0%
16 66 UC Irvine (11-8) 18-12 28% 28% 0%
Idaho (8-10) 14-15 5% 5% 0%
CS Fullerton (8-12) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (10-11) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (11-8) 17-12 10% 10% 0%
Army (13-6) 19-10 13% 13% 0%
16 68 Colgate (9-12) 15-16 22% 22% 0%
Navy (7-13) 11-19 1% 1% 0%
Lehigh (9-9) 14-14 10% 10% 0%
American (11-9) 17-13 19% 19% 0%
Bucknell (11-10) 16-15 17% 17% 0%
Holy Cross (8-10) 13-16 4% 4% 0%
1 4 Wisconsin (18-2) 27-4 100% 44% 45%
Purdue (12-8) 17-14 8% 1% 0%
11 41 Iowa (13-7) 20-11 62% 3% 0%
Michigan (13-8) 16-14 8% 1% 0%
Penn State (13-7) 16-15 0% 0% 0%
5 17 Ohio State (16-5) 24-7 97% 28% 0%
10 38 Michigan St (13-7) 21-11 69% 8% 0%
9 33 Indiana (15-5) 21-10 80% 4% 0%
Illinois (13-8) 19-12 29% 3% 0%
Minnesota (13-8) 18-13 9% 2% 0%
Northwestern (10-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (10-9) 14-16 3% 2% 0%
Tulane (13-8) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
S Mississippi (6-12) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (11-10) 13-19 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (14-5) 18-13 2% 1% 0%
UAB (10-10) 16-15 8% 8% 0%
S Florida (7-13) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (12-7) 19-12 35% 9% 0%
E Carolina (8-11) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
4 13 Louisville (16-3) 25-6 99% 14% 3%
Houston (7-12) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
6 22 Cincinnati (14-5) 23-8 92% 19% 0%
Charlotte (8-11) 16-15 5% 5% 0%
Saint Louis (9-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (9-10) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (14-6) 19-12 12% 2% 0%
USC (9-10) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (11-9) 17-14 12% 2% 0%
Oregon St (14-5) 18-12 5% 1% 0%
8 29 Stanford (14-5) 21-9 83% 8% 0%
California (11-9) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
Washington (14-5) 19-11 23% 2% 0%
Arizona St (10-10) 16-15 3% 2% 0%
1 3 Arizona (18-2) 27-4 100% 49% 65%
Florida St (10-10) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
1 2 Virginia (19-0) 27-3 100% 28% 71%
Clemson (11-8) 15-15 1% 0% 0%
5 18 Maryland (18-3) 24-7 95% 6% 0%
12 49 NC State (13-8) 18-13 53% 1% 0%
2 6 Duke (17-2) 26-5 100% 30% 36%
Wake Forest (9-11) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (9-10) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
3 12 N Carolina (17-4) 24-7 100% 18% 4%
Fairfield (6-14) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (9-10) 14-15 6% 6% 0%
13 52 Iona (15-6) 23-8 53% 45% 0%
Rider (13-8) 19-12 9% 9% 0%
St Peters (10-11) 16-15 6% 6% 0%
Loyola-MD (7-12) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (11-8) 18-11 13% 13% 0%
Siena (8-11) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
Marist (2-18) 5-25 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (3-16) 6-23 0% 0% 0%

Most Likely 1 Seeds

Team 1-Seed%
Kentucky 99.2%
Virginia 71.1%
Arizona 64.8%
Wisconsin 45.2%
Duke 36.3%

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Most Likely Auto Bids

Team Auto%
Kentucky 81.6%
Gonzaga 76.0%
N Mex State 68.0%
NC Central 60.1%
TX Southern 57.9%

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Current Bubble Teams

Team NCAA Bid%
Connecticut 61.0%
BYU 55.6%
NC State 52.6%
St Marys 49.6%
Florida 56.1%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Tulsa 75.3% 26.5%
Miami (FL) 74.7% 24.5%
Texas A&M 45.2% 22.8%
Providence 83.7% 18.3%
Mississippi 57.9% 15.6%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Seton Hall 26.5% -28.9%
Old Dominion 54.0% -26.4%
UCLA 11.9% -20.7%
Harvard 33.2% -17.8%
BYU 55.6% -16.8%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Yale 43.6% 12.5%
Bucknell 16.7% 8.3%
N Florida 46.4% 8.2%
UC Irvine 27.9% 7.2%
Ark Pine Bl 11.8% 5.8%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Harvard 32.4% -15.8%
SC Upstate 21.0% -10.6%
American 18.5% -8.5%
Buffalo 25.2% -8.1%
Old Dominion 25.6% -7.5%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Arizona 64.8% 19.5%
Kansas 24.3% 11.0%
Duke 36.3% 5.2%
Villanova 17.1% 2.1%
Louisville 2.6% 1.2%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Gonzaga 21.1% -18.4%
Virginia 71.1% -4.6%
N Carolina 4.0% -3.4%
Utah 2.8% -3.4%
Texas 0.2% -2.2%

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Boston Col 11.2 -1.4
Notre Dame 5.4 -1.2
Providence 6.3 -1.1
Central FL 14.2 -1.1
Miami (FL) 7.9 -1.1

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Texas 7.0 1.7
California 12.5 1.7
Wash State 14.7 1.5
Maryland 6.3 1.4
San Diego St 7.9 1.3

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