NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2015

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Projected Seed Current & Projected Record Bracketology Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid 1 Seed
Massachusetts Lowell (12-17) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (16-15) 16-15 6% 6% 0%
Bryant (15-14) 15-14 16% 16% 0%
North Dakota (8-20) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (13-17) 14-17 10% 10% 0%
Incarnate Word (17-8) 19-9 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (10-21) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (16-11) 16-12 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (13-16) 13-16 4% 4% 0%
15 60 S Dakota St (21-9) 21-9 40% 40% 0%
Neb Omaha (11-17) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (16-14) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (21-10) 21-10 18% 18% 0%
N Dakota St (20-9) 20-9 15% 15% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (21-9) 21-9 20% 20% 0%
Longwood (9-22) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (14-13) 14-14 9% 9% 0%
Houston Bap (11-14) 12-16 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (10-18) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
16 63 N Florida (20-11) 20-11 57% 57% 0%
Central Ark (2-24) 2-27 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (12-15) 12-15 1% 1% 0%
15 59 NC Central (22-6) 24-6 63% 63% 0%
Abilene Christian (9-19) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (14-14) 15-14 5% 5% 0%
Kennesaw St (10-21) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (12-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Alabama (17-12) 18-13 1% 0% 0%
6 24 LSU (21-8) 22-9 77% 2% 0%
Miss State (12-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
4 16 Arkansas (23-6) 24-7 100% 7% 0%
12 46 Mississippi (19-10) 20-11 59% 3% 0%
S Carolina (14-14) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
Florida (14-15) 15-16 4% 3% 0%
9 33 Georgia (19-9) 20-10 74% 2% 0%
Tennessee (14-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (17-12) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (29-0) 31-0 100% 79% 99%
13 51 Ste F Austin (24-4) 27-4 61% 55% 0%
Texas State (13-14) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
McNeese St (12-15) 14-15 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (16-12) 17-13 4% 4% 0%
SE Louisiana (9-19) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
NW State (16-10) 18-11 3% 3% 0%
Sam Hous St (22-6) 24-7 40% 40% 0%
Nicholls St (7-18) 8-20 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (15-13) 16-14 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (13-14) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
LA Monroe (19-10) 20-11 9% 9% 0%
TX-Pan Am (9-19) 10-21 1% 1% 0%
TX A&M-CC (16-12) 18-12 2% 2% 0%
Savannah St (9-19) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (16-13) 16-13 12% 12% 0%
Columbia (13-13) 14-14 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (13-15) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (13-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
Yale (21-8) 22-9 28% 27% 0%
Dartmouth (12-14) 13-15 0% 0% 0%
12 49 Harvard (20-6) 22-6 74% 73% 0%
U Penn (7-18) 8-20 0% 0% 0%
Brown (13-16) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (18-12) 18-12 1% 1% 0%
Wright State (11-19) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (11-20) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
5 20 Butler (21-8) 22-9 100% 16% 0%
WI-Milwkee (14-16) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (8-23) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
13 54 WI-Grn Bay (23-7) 23-7 47% 43% 0%
Cleveland St (17-13) 17-13 10% 10% 0%
Detroit (14-17) 14-17 2% 2% 0%
Radford (21-10) 21-10 12% 12% 0%
Charl South (19-10) 19-10 14% 14% 0%
Winthrop (17-12) 17-12 8% 8% 0%
16 66 Coastal Car (21-9) 21-9 40% 40% 0%
VA Military (11-18) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
Liberty (8-23) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
High Point (22-8) 22-8 18% 18% 0%
NC-Asheville (14-15) 14-15 4% 4% 0%
Hawaii (19-11) 20-12 9% 9% 0%
Fresno St (14-15) 15-16 1% 1% 0%
Nevada (9-19) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
5 19 S Methodist (23-5) 24-6 100% 33% 0%
LA Tech (23-7) 24-7 28% 24% 0%
Rice (10-18) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (19-9) 21-9 21% 21% 0%
9 34 Tulsa (21-7) 22-8 96% 11% 0%
11 44 Boise State (22-7) 24-7 69% 27% 0%
San Jose St (2-26) 2-28 0% 0% 0%
8 30 Georgetown (18-9) 19-10 98% 11% 0%
5 18 Providence (19-9) 21-10 98% 5% 0%
8 31 St Johns (20-9) 21-10 86% 4% 0%
Rutgers (10-19) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (19-10) 21-11 48% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (18-11) 19-12 14% 1% 0%
Connecticut (16-11) 18-12 36% 26% 0%
VA Tech (10-19) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
5 17 Notre Dame (24-5) 25-6 100% 7% 0%
1 3 Villanova (27-2) 29-2 100% 53% 73%
6 22 W Virginia (22-7) 23-8 100% 8% 0%
Syracuse (18-11) 19-12 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (10-18) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (16-12) 17-13 2% 1% 0%
Pepperdine (17-12) 17-12 1% 1% 0%
Santa Clara (13-17) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (13-17) 13-17 1% 1% 0%
2 8 Gonzaga (29-2) 29-2 100% 70% 2%
Loyola Mymt (8-22) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (15-15) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
St Marys (21-8) 21-8 18% 5% 0%
Portland (16-14) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
Austin Peay (8-22) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (19-10) 19-10 23% 23% 0%
TN Tech (12-18) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (18-11) 18-11 5% 5% 0%
E Illinois (16-13) 16-13 1% 1% 0%
13 53 Murray St (26-4) 26-4 52% 50% 0%
SE Missouri (13-16) 13-16 1% 1% 0%
Morehead St (15-16) 15-16 6% 6% 0%
Jksnville St (12-19) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
TN State (5-26) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Samford (13-18) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Nebraska (13-15) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
3 9 Baylor (22-7) 23-8 100% 15% 0%
Missouri (8-21) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (13-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
2 7 Kansas (23-6) 24-7 100% 23% 8%
11 43 Texas A&M (20-8) 21-9 71% 3% 0%
Colorado (12-15) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
3 12 Iowa State (20-8) 21-9 100% 17% 0%
Kansas St (15-15) 15-16 12% 1% 0%
Texas (17-12) 18-13 41% 9% 0%
9 35 Oklahoma St (17-11) 18-12 75% 4% 0%
3 10 Oklahoma (20-8) 21-9 100% 21% 0%
Florida Intl (13-16) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (18-10) 19-11 5% 5% 0%
AR Lit Rock (13-16) 13-17 1% 1% 0%
Arkansas St (11-16) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (15-14) 16-15 3% 3% 0%
LA Lafayette (17-12) 19-12 14% 14% 0%
New Orleans (9-15) 11-16 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (9-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (14-14) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
Denver (12-17) 12-17 10% 10% 0%
15 61 N Mex State (19-10) 22-10 70% 70% 0%
Idaho State (6-22) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (16-13) 17-14 10% 10% 0%
Sac State (19-8) 20-9 9% 9% 0%
Weber State (12-15) 13-16 3% 3% 0%
Montana (17-11) 18-11 15% 15% 0%
Montana St (7-22) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (14-12) 15-13 3% 3% 0%
14 58 E Washingtn (21-8) 22-9 48% 48% 0%
Wyoming (20-8) 21-9 4% 4% 0%
4 15 Utah (22-6) 24-6 100% 35% 0%
Colorado St (24-5) 25-6 45% 17% 0%
New Mexico (14-15) 15-15 3% 3% 0%
10 38 San Diego St (22-7) 24-7 77% 28% 0%
UNLV (16-13) 17-14 16% 16% 0%
9 36 BYU (23-8) 23-8 87% 21% 0%
Air Force (13-15) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
14 56 Albany (21-8) 21-8 45% 45% 0%
Maine (3-26) 3-26 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (17-12) 17-12 35% 35% 0%
Binghamton (6-25) 6-25 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (18-11) 18-11 5% 5% 0%
Boston U (13-16) 13-16 6% 6% 0%
Maryland BC (4-25) 4-25 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (14-15) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
Northeastrn (20-11) 20-11 25% 25% 0%
Stony Brook (21-10) 21-10 15% 15% 0%
Illinois St (19-11) 19-11 6% 6% 0%
Drake (9-21) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
6 23 N Iowa (27-3) 27-3 100% 35% 0%
Missouri St (11-19) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (8-23) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (13-16) 14-17 1% 1% 0%
3 11 Wichita St (27-3) 27-3 100% 53% 0%
S Illinois (11-20) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (19-11) 19-11 2% 2% 0%
Indiana St (15-15) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
Delaware St (13-16) 14-17 2% 2% 0%
NC A&T (8-21) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (12-15) 13-16 4% 4% 0%
Beth-Cook (10-19) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (7-22) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (10-20) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Howard (15-14) 16-15 4% 4% 0%
Maryland ES (17-13) 18-13 9% 9% 0%
Coppin State (7-21) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (18-11) 19-12 17% 17% 0%
Florida A&M (1-27) 1-28 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (10-19) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
Geo Mason (9-19) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (11-18) 11-18 2% 2% 0%
James Mad (19-12) 19-12 4% 4% 0%
14 57 Old Dominion (22-6) 24-6 37% 26% 0%
16 67 Hofstra (19-12) 19-12 27% 27% 0%
7 25 VCU (21-8) 22-9 97% 30% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (17-12) 17-12 12% 12% 0%
Wm & Mary (18-11) 18-11 25% 25% 0%
Towson (12-19) 12-19 1% 1% 0%
Citadel (11-18) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
11 42 Davidson (21-6) 22-7 68% 20% 0%
13 52 Wofford (25-6) 25-6 51% 41% 0%
Col Charlestn (8-23) 8-23 1% 1% 0%
Furman (8-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (20-7) 21-8 15% 15% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (10-21) 10-21 1% 1% 0%
Elon (14-17) 14-17 2% 2% 0%
Chattanooga (22-9) 22-9 21% 21% 0%
W Carolina (14-16) 14-16 4% 4% 0%
E Tenn St (16-13) 16-13 11% 11% 0%
App State (10-17) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (19-10) 19-10 14% 14% 0%
Campbell (10-21) 10-21 1% 1% 0%
Fla Atlantic (8-19) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (10-21) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (9-21) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (13-16) 13-16 1% 1% 0%
14 55 Georgia St (20-9) 22-9 55% 55% 0%
Gard-Webb (18-13) 18-13 3% 3% 0%
Central FL (12-16) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (17-14) 17-14 15% 15% 0%
Troy (10-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (17-12) 18-13 3% 2% 0%
Fordham (9-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (20-7) 21-8 21% 13% 0%
St Josephs (12-16) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (15-12) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
11 45 Temple (20-9) 21-10 71% 7% 0%
Duquesne (10-17) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
10 37 Dayton (22-6) 23-7 72% 17% 0%
8 32 Xavier (18-12) 19-12 73% 9% 0%
La Salle (15-14) 16-15 2% 2% 0%
Richmond (17-12) 18-13 14% 8% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (18-11) 19-12 6% 6% 0%
Alabama St (16-8) 18-9 0% 0% 0%
Southern (15-15) 16-16 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (10-18) 12-19 17% 17% 0%
Prairie View (12-16) 14-17 19% 19% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (10-20) 11-21 6% 6% 0%
16 64 TX Southern (16-12) 18-13 53% 53% 0%
Miss Val St (5-24) 6-25 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (2-23) 2-26 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (8-17) 9-19 4% 4% 0%
Alcorn State (5-23) 5-25 1% 1% 0%
Ohio (9-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (11-18) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Akron (18-11) 19-12 5% 5% 0%
12 48 Buffalo (19-9) 21-9 56% 31% 0%
Miami (OH) (12-17) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (19-10) 20-11 4% 4% 0%
N Illinois (12-15) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (17-12) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
Bowling Grn (19-8) 20-9 10% 10% 0%
Toledo (19-10) 20-11 26% 25% 0%
W Michigan (18-11) 19-12 2% 2% 0%
Ball State (7-20) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (21-6) 22-7 23% 21% 0%
Mt St Marys (15-14) 15-14 8% 8% 0%
St Fran (PA) (15-14) 15-14 5% 5% 0%
Central Conn (5-26) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (15-13) 15-14 8% 8% 0%
Rob Morris (16-14) 16-14 21% 21% 0%
F Dickinson (8-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (12-17) 12-17 1% 1% 0%
Monmouth (16-14) 17-14 8% 8% 0%
Sacred Hrt (15-16) 15-16 3% 3% 0%
Wagner (10-19) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
16 65 St Fran (NY) (21-10) 21-10 44% 44% 0%
Oakland (16-15) 16-15 4% 4% 0%
UMKC (13-17) 14-17 8% 8% 0%
Valparaiso (26-5) 26-5 48% 41% 0%
Oral Roberts (17-13) 17-13 14% 14% 0%
IUPUI (10-20) 10-20 2% 2% 0%
W Illinois (8-19) 8-19 1% 1% 0%
S Utah (9-18) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (8-22) 8-23 1% 1% 0%
Cal Poly (13-14) 13-15 7% 7% 0%
UC Davis (22-5) 23-6 17% 16% 0%
Lg Beach St (14-16) 15-17 16% 16% 0%
UC Riverside (14-14) 15-15 2% 2% 0%
UCSB (16-12) 17-13 23% 23% 0%
Utah State (18-10) 19-11 4% 4% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (9-22) 9-23 1% 1% 0%
16 68 UC Irvine (17-11) 18-12 25% 25% 0%
Idaho (13-14) 14-15 6% 6% 0%
CS Fullerton (9-20) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (12-18) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (17-12) 17-12 10% 10% 0%
Army (15-14) 15-14 1% 1% 0%
Colgate (15-16) 15-16 28% 28% 0%
Navy (12-18) 12-18 1% 1% 0%
Lehigh (15-13) 15-13 15% 15% 0%
American (15-15) 15-15 7% 7% 0%
15 62 Bucknell (18-13) 18-13 31% 31% 0%
Holy Cross (13-15) 13-15 2% 2% 0%
2 6 Wisconsin (25-3) 27-4 100% 43% 32%
12 47 Purdue (19-9) 20-11 54% 3% 0%
7 28 Iowa (19-10) 20-11 86% 6% 0%
Michigan (14-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (15-14) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
7 26 Ohio State (20-8) 22-9 92% 25% 0%
8 29 Michigan St (19-9) 20-11 88% 10% 0%
11 41 Indiana (19-10) 20-11 69% 3% 0%
Illinois (18-11) 19-12 24% 3% 0%
Minnesota (17-12) 18-13 3% 2% 0%
Northwestern (14-15) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (11-16) 12-18 1% 1% 0%
Tulane (14-14) 15-15 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (9-19) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (12-18) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (17-12) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
UAB (16-13) 17-14 15% 15% 0%
S Florida (8-20) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (17-12) 18-13 9% 8% 0%
E Carolina (13-16) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
4 13 Louisville (23-6) 24-7 100% 13% 0%
Houston (9-18) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
7 27 Cincinnati (20-9) 21-10 85% 14% 0%
Charlotte (13-16) 15-16 4% 4% 0%
Saint Louis (11-18) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (12-15) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
10 40 Oregon (21-8) 22-9 65% 2% 0%
USC (11-18) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (17-12) 19-12 42% 3% 0%
Oregon St (17-11) 18-12 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (18-9) 19-11 44% 4% 0%
California (16-12) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
Washington (15-13) 16-14 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (15-13) 17-14 2% 1% 0%
1 2 Arizona (26-3) 28-3 100% 54% 75%
Florida St (15-15) 16-15 0% 0% 0%
1 4 Virginia (27-1) 28-2 100% 27% 60%
Clemson (16-12) 17-13 2% 0% 0%
4 14 Maryland (24-5) 25-6 100% 5% 0%
10 39 NC State (17-12) 18-13 69% 1% 0%
2 5 Duke (26-3) 27-4 100% 38% 50%
Wake Forest (12-16) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (12-17) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
6 21 N Carolina (20-9) 21-10 100% 13% 0%
Fairfield (7-22) 7-23 1% 1% 0%
Manhattan (15-13) 16-13 11% 11% 0%
12 50 Iona (24-6) 25-6 67% 42% 0%
Rider (20-10) 21-10 12% 12% 0%
St Peters (13-17) 13-18 4% 4% 0%
Loyola-MD (11-18) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (16-13) 16-13 9% 9% 0%
Siena (10-18) 10-19 5% 5% 0%
Marist (6-23) 6-24 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (7-21) 8-21 0% 0% 0%

Most Likely 1 Seeds

Team 1-Seed%
Kentucky 98.7%
Arizona 74.6%
Villanova 73.4%
Virginia 60.1%
Duke 50.4%

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Most Likely Auto Bids

Team Auto%
Kentucky 78.8%
Harvard 73.0%
N Mex State 70.3%
Gonzaga 70.1%
NC Central 62.6%

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Current Bubble Teams

Team NCAA Bid%
Pittsburgh 47.5%
Purdue 54.4%
Iona 67.3%
Harvard 73.9%
Boise State 68.5%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Oregon 65.3% 37.7%
BYU 87.2% 37.4%
St Johns 86.1% 33.6%
Tulsa 96.1% 29.8%
Iowa 86.1% 29.7%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Illinois 23.7% -30.6%
Mississippi 59.3% -29.9%
Texas 40.5% -22.6%
Fla Gulf Cst 20.3% -20.5%
Xavier 72.7% -20.1%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
St Fran (NY) 44.1% 17.0%
N Florida 57.2% 16.5%
WI-Grn Bay 43.2% 8.5%
Valparaiso 41.4% 7.7%
Buffalo 31.1% 6.3%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Fla Gulf Cst 20.3% -20.5%
Cleveland St 9.6% -15.0%
St Fran (PA) 5.3% -7.2%
Coastal Car 40.0% -6.0%
Harvard 73.0% -5.7%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Arizona 74.6% 36.9%
Villanova 73.4% 23.1%
Kentucky 98.7% 0.5%
Baylor 0.3% 0.3%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Gonzaga 1.6% -18.5%
Virginia 60.1% -18.5%
Wisconsin 32.5% -14.0%
Kansas 7.6% -4.5%
Iowa State 0.1% -2.1%

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
BYU 9.2 -1.7
Baylor 3.3 -1.7
Iowa 7.7 -1.3
Oregon 8.7 -1.3
Maryland 4.5 -1.3

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
VCU 7.4 1.9
San Diego St 9.3 1.6
Mississippi 9.3 1.6
Illinois 10.3 1.4
Temple 10.7 1.2

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