NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2015

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Projected Seed Current & Projected Record Bracketology Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid 1 Seed
Massachusetts Lowell (9-12) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (10-12) 15-16 6% 6% 0%
Bryant (9-10) 14-15 13% 13% 0%
North Dakota (6-13) 11-19 1% 1% 0%
CS Bakersfld (7-14) 13-17 12% 12% 0%
Incarnate Word (11-5) 19-9 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (7-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (12-10) 16-12 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (9-12) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
16 66 S Dakota St (16-7) 21-9 38% 38% 0%
Neb Omaha (8-12) 12-17 3% 3% 0%
Grand Canyon (12-10) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (15-7) 21-10 20% 20% 0%
N Dakota St (14-7) 18-11 13% 13% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (15-7) 21-9 31% 31% 0%
Longwood (6-16) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (10-9) 15-13 10% 10% 0%
Houston Bap (9-8) 12-16 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (8-11) 12-17 4% 4% 0%
16 64 N Florida (14-9) 20-11 46% 46% 0%
Central Ark (0-18) 1-28 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (9-11) 12-15 1% 1% 0%
15 59 NC Central (16-5) 24-6 60% 60% 0%
Abilene Christian (9-11) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (10-9) 16-13 8% 8% 0%
Kennesaw St (6-16) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (10-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Alabama (13-7) 19-12 17% 1% 0%
9 33 LSU (16-4) 22-9 67% 1% 0%
Miss State (9-11) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
8 29 Arkansas (16-4) 23-8 89% 4% 0%
11 42 Mississippi (13-7) 20-11 53% 2% 0%
S Carolina (10-9) 15-15 5% 1% 0%
11 44 Florida (11-9) 18-13 58% 5% 0%
8 32 Georgia (14-5) 20-10 77% 3% 0%
Tennessee (12-7) 17-13 12% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (11-9) 16-15 1% 0% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (20-0) 30-1 100% 81% 99%
13 51 Ste F Austin (17-3) 27-4 66% 56% 0%
Texas State (10-9) 15-14 2% 2% 0%
McNeese St (7-11) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (12-8) 18-12 8% 8% 0%
SE Louisiana (5-14) 13-18 2% 2% 0%
NW State (10-9) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
Sam Hous St (15-5) 24-7 38% 38% 0%
Nicholls St (5-12) 8-20 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (10-10) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (10-9) 14-15 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (13-8) 18-13 5% 5% 0%
TX-Pan Am (8-13) 10-20 1% 1% 0%
TX A&M-CC (11-8) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
Savannah St (5-15) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (10-11) 14-15 6% 6% 0%
Columbia (9-7) 16-12 10% 10% 0%
Cornell (9-9) 15-15 3% 3% 0%
Princeton (8-9) 14-16 5% 5% 0%
13 54 Yale (13-6) 21-10 45% 44% 0%
Dartmouth (8-8) 14-14 6% 6% 0%
Harvard (11-5) 19-9 32% 32% 0%
U Penn (5-10) 9-19 0% 0% 0%
Brown (9-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (13-8) 18-12 1% 1% 0%
Wright State (11-11) 15-15 1% 1% 0%
Youngs St (10-14) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
6 23 Butler (15-6) 22-9 95% 17% 0%
WI-Milwkee (8-14) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (5-17) 7-24 0% 0% 0%
12 47 WI-Grn Bay (17-4) 24-6 60% 51% 0%
Cleveland St (12-10) 18-13 15% 15% 0%
Detroit (11-12) 15-16 2% 2% 0%
Radford (15-7) 21-10 14% 14% 0%
Charl South (12-8) 17-12 8% 8% 0%
Winthrop (11-9) 17-12 8% 8% 0%
16 65 Coastal Car (15-6) 21-9 41% 41% 0%
VA Military (8-14) 12-17 5% 5% 0%
Liberty (6-16) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
High Point (17-5) 22-8 17% 17% 0%
NC-Asheville (10-10) 15-14 7% 7% 0%
Hawaii (15-7) 19-13 6% 6% 0%
Fresno St (10-11) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Nevada (6-13) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
5 19 S Methodist (17-4) 23-7 98% 29% 0%
LA Tech (16-5) 23-8 30% 22% 0%
Rice (6-13) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (13-7) 21-9 24% 21% 0%
10 37 Tulsa (15-5) 21-9 76% 9% 0%
Boise State (15-6) 22-9 30% 15% 0%
San Jose St (2-18) 3-27 0% 0% 0%
8 30 Georgetown (14-6) 19-10 89% 11% 0%
7 26 Providence (16-5) 20-11 85% 6% 0%
St Johns (13-7) 18-13 22% 4% 0%
Rutgers (10-12) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (13-8) 17-15 2% 0% 0%
11 43 Miami (FL) (14-6) 20-11 52% 1% 0%
Connecticut (11-8) 18-12 54% 27% 0%
VA Tech (9-11) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
4 13 Notre Dame (20-2) 26-5 100% 9% 2%
2 8 Villanova (18-2) 27-4 100% 43% 19%
4 16 W Virginia (17-3) 23-8 95% 14% 1%
Syracuse (14-7) 18-13 24% 1% 0%
Boston Col (9-10) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (14-6) 19-11 39% 4% 0%
Pepperdine (13-8) 17-12 1% 1% 0%
Santa Clara (11-11) 13-17 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (9-13) 13-17 1% 1% 0%
2 7 Gonzaga (21-1) 29-2 100% 76% 12%
Loyola Mymt (6-16) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (11-11) 14-16 1% 1% 0%
12 49 St Marys (17-4) 22-7 47% 5% 0%
Portland (12-10) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
Austin Peay (7-14) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (11-9) 18-11 18% 18% 0%
TN Tech (10-12) 14-16 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (13-7) 18-11 7% 7% 0%
E Illinois (12-9) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
12 48 Murray St (18-4) 25-5 57% 50% 0%
SE Missouri (9-12) 12-17 1% 1% 0%
Morehead St (10-13) 15-16 9% 9% 0%
Jksnville St (9-14) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
TN State (4-18) 6-25 0% 0% 0%
Samford (9-14) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (12-8) 15-15 2% 0% 0%
7 28 Baylor (15-5) 21-10 86% 7% 0%
Missouri (7-13) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (11-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
2 6 Kansas (17-3) 25-6 100% 24% 29%
12 50 Texas A&M (14-5) 20-10 46% 1% 0%
Colorado (11-9) 16-14 11% 3% 0%
4 15 Iowa State (15-4) 21-9 97% 13% 3%
Kansas St (12-9) 15-16 11% 1% 0%
7 27 Texas (14-6) 21-10 90% 15% 0%
11 41 Oklahoma St (14-6) 19-11 63% 5% 0%
5 18 Oklahoma (13-7) 20-10 96% 19% 0%
Florida Intl (9-10) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (14-6) 21-9 16% 11% 0%
AR Lit Rock (8-12) 12-18 1% 1% 0%
Arkansas St (9-11) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (12-9) 17-14 3% 3% 0%
LA Lafayette (11-10) 18-13 14% 14% 0%
New Orleans (6-10) 11-16 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (7-14) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (8-11) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Denver (9-12) 14-15 13% 13% 0%
15 61 N Mex State (12-10) 20-11 68% 68% 0%
Idaho State (5-16) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (9-11) 15-16 8% 8% 0%
Sac State (14-6) 19-10 10% 10% 0%
Weber State (9-11) 14-15 17% 17% 0%
Montana (11-8) 17-12 16% 16% 0%
Montana St (4-16) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (10-9) 14-14 2% 2% 0%
14 58 E Washingtn (15-5) 23-8 34% 32% 0%
Wyoming (16-4) 22-8 13% 7% 0%
4 14 Utah (16-4) 24-6 100% 29% 1%
9 35 Colorado St (18-3) 25-6 66% 20% 0%
New Mexico (13-7) 19-11 9% 7% 0%
8 31 San Diego St (16-5) 24-7 83% 31% 0%
UNLV (12-9) 18-13 17% 16% 0%
12 45 BYU (16-7) 22-9 54% 15% 0%
Air Force (9-11) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
15 60 Albany (13-7) 20-9 42% 42% 0%
Maine (2-19) 3-26 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (11-10) 17-12 24% 24% 0%
Binghamton (3-20) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (12-9) 16-13 4% 4% 0%
Boston U (8-12) 12-17 4% 4% 0%
Maryland BC (3-18) 5-24 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (11-10) 15-14 2% 2% 0%
Northeastrn (14-8) 20-11 18% 18% 0%
Stony Brook (15-8) 21-10 27% 27% 0%
Illinois St (13-8) 18-12 9% 7% 0%
Drake (5-16) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
7 25 N Iowa (19-2) 26-4 93% 26% 0%
Missouri St (8-13) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (7-15) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (10-12) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
3 11 Wichita St (19-2) 27-3 100% 56% 1%
S Illinois (9-13) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (16-5) 22-8 17% 8% 0%
Indiana St (10-11) 14-16 1% 1% 0%
Delaware St (10-10) 16-15 5% 5% 0%
NC A&T (5-17) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (8-12) 12-17 3% 3% 0%
Beth-Cook (6-15) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (4-16) 8-22 1% 1% 0%
S Car State (7-15) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
Howard (10-10) 15-16 3% 3% 0%
Maryland ES (12-10) 17-14 7% 7% 0%
Coppin State (3-17) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (14-9) 20-11 20% 20% 0%
Florida A&M (0-20) 1-28 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (4-16) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (7-12) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (6-14) 9-20 1% 1% 0%
James Mad (13-9) 18-13 5% 5% 0%
10 39 Old Dominion (16-4) 24-6 55% 27% 0%
Hofstra (14-8) 21-10 29% 29% 0%
3 10 VCU (17-3) 26-5 100% 40% 3%
NC-Wilmgton (12-8) 17-12 10% 10% 0%
14 57 Wm & Mary (13-7) 19-10 36% 31% 0%
Towson (10-12) 13-18 1% 1% 0%
Citadel (8-12) 11-18 1% 1% 0%
10 40 Davidson (14-4) 22-7 65% 17% 0%
14 56 Wofford (17-5) 23-8 41% 39% 0%
Col Charlestn (6-16) 10-21 1% 1% 0%
Furman (7-13) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
GA Southern (14-4) 21-8 20% 20% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (6-16) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Elon (11-11) 15-16 3% 3% 0%
Chattanooga (14-8) 20-11 17% 17% 0%
W Carolina (10-12) 14-17 4% 4% 0%
E Tenn St (12-8) 18-11 15% 15% 0%
App State (8-11) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (14-7) 19-10 12% 12% 0%
Campbell (8-14) 12-19 1% 1% 0%
Fla Atlantic (8-9) 13-16 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (7-16) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (6-15) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (10-11) 14-15 3% 3% 0%
14 55 Georgia St (14-7) 22-9 51% 49% 0%
Gard-Webb (13-9) 18-13 4% 4% 0%
Central FL (9-11) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (12-10) 17-14 17% 17% 0%
Troy (7-12) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (11-9) 17-14 5% 2% 0%
Fordham (5-13) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (14-5) 20-9 17% 7% 0%
St Josephs (8-11) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (11-7) 16-13 2% 2% 0%
Temple (14-7) 20-11 37% 5% 0%
Duquesne (6-13) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
12 46 Dayton (16-4) 23-7 52% 12% 0%
6 24 Xavier (14-7) 20-11 87% 13% 0%
La Salle (11-9) 16-15 2% 2% 0%
Richmond (11-9) 17-14 12% 5% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (16-5) 22-9 44% 11% 0%
Alabama St (11-5) 19-8 0% 0% 0%
Southern (9-13) 16-16 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (5-15) 12-19 14% 14% 0%
Prairie View (5-15) 11-20 8% 8% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (6-15) 12-20 12% 12% 0%
16 63 TX Southern (9-11) 18-13 58% 58% 0%
Miss Val St (2-18) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (2-15) 4-24 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (5-12) 9-19 6% 6% 0%
Alcorn State (4-16) 7-23 2% 2% 0%
Ohio (7-11) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (6-15) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Akron (14-6) 20-11 15% 13% 0%
13 53 Buffalo (13-6) 20-10 51% 26% 0%
Miami (OH) (7-13) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (15-5) 20-11 12% 10% 0%
N Illinois (8-10) 12-17 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (13-7) 19-12 3% 3% 0%
Bowling Grn (13-5) 19-10 15% 10% 0%
Toledo (12-8) 19-12 17% 14% 0%
W Michigan (13-7) 19-12 5% 5% 0%
Ball State (7-11) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (14-4) 21-8 24% 18% 0%
Mt St Marys (9-11) 14-15 10% 10% 0%
St Fran (PA) (11-9) 17-12 19% 19% 0%
Central Conn (3-19) 5-26 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (11-8) 17-12 7% 7% 0%
Rob Morris (11-10) 17-13 19% 19% 0%
F Dickinson (7-13) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (8-12) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
Monmouth (11-10) 16-15 8% 8% 0%
Sacred Hrt (9-13) 14-17 7% 7% 0%
Wagner (7-13) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
16 67 St Fran (NY) (13-9) 19-12 22% 22% 0%
Oakland (10-12) 15-16 3% 3% 0%
UMKC (8-14) 12-19 5% 5% 0%
Valparaiso (19-4) 25-6 30% 28% 0%
Oral Roberts (11-10) 16-14 16% 16% 0%
IUPUI (8-13) 12-18 4% 4% 0%
W Illinois (7-11) 9-18 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (5-13) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (4-18) 6-25 1% 1% 0%
Cal Poly (10-9) 15-13 9% 9% 0%
UC Davis (15-4) 20-9 7% 7% 0%
Lg Beach St (11-11) 18-14 29% 25% 0%
UC Riverside (9-11) 12-18 1% 1% 0%
UCSB (10-10) 17-13 23% 23% 0%
Utah State (12-8) 17-13 2% 2% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (6-16) 9-22 1% 1% 0%
15 62 UC Irvine (12-8) 19-11 29% 28% 0%
Idaho (8-10) 13-16 5% 5% 0%
CS Fullerton (8-13) 11-20 1% 1% 0%
Pacific (10-12) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (12-8) 18-11 15% 15% 0%
Army (14-6) 19-10 14% 14% 0%
Colgate (9-13) 14-17 19% 19% 0%
Navy (8-13) 11-19 1% 1% 0%
Lehigh (9-10) 14-14 9% 9% 0%
American (11-10) 16-14 14% 14% 0%
16 68 Bucknell (12-10) 17-14 21% 21% 0%
Holy Cross (8-11) 12-16 2% 2% 0%
1 4 Wisconsin (18-2) 27-4 100% 43% 49%
Purdue (13-8) 18-13 12% 2% 0%
10 38 Iowa (13-7) 20-11 64% 3% 0%
Michigan (13-8) 16-14 8% 0% 0%
Penn State (14-7) 17-14 0% 0% 0%
5 17 Ohio State (17-5) 24-7 99% 31% 0%
9 36 Michigan St (14-7) 20-11 72% 8% 0%
9 34 Indiana (15-6) 21-10 73% 3% 0%
Illinois (13-8) 19-12 28% 3% 0%
Minnesota (13-9) 17-14 5% 2% 0%
Northwestern (10-10) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (10-10) 14-16 2% 1% 0%
Tulane (13-8) 16-14 1% 1% 0%
S Mississippi (6-13) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (11-11) 13-18 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (14-6) 18-13 1% 1% 0%
UAB (10-11) 16-15 9% 9% 0%
S Florida (7-14) 10-21 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (13-7) 19-12 36% 9% 0%
E Carolina (8-12) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
3 12 Louisville (17-3) 25-6 100% 14% 3%
Houston (8-12) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
6 21 Cincinnati (15-5) 23-8 96% 21% 0%
Charlotte (9-11) 16-15 6% 6% 0%
Saint Louis (9-11) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (9-11) 11-19 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (14-7) 19-12 9% 1% 0%
USC (9-11) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (12-9) 18-13 29% 2% 0%
Oregon St (14-6) 18-12 3% 0% 0%
5 20 Stanford (15-5) 21-9 92% 9% 0%
California (12-9) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
Washington (14-6) 19-11 14% 1% 0%
Arizona St (11-10) 16-15 4% 2% 0%
1 3 Arizona (19-2) 28-3 100% 53% 71%
Florida St (11-10) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
1 2 Virginia (19-0) 27-3 100% 28% 74%
Clemson (12-8) 16-14 5% 0% 0%
6 22 Maryland (18-4) 24-7 94% 5% 0%
NC State (13-9) 17-14 27% 1% 0%
2 5 Duke (17-3) 26-5 100% 27% 26%
Wake Forest (9-12) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (10-10) 14-16 1% 0% 0%
3 9 N Carolina (17-4) 24-7 100% 19% 5%
Fairfield (6-14) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (9-10) 14-15 5% 5% 0%
13 52 Iona (15-6) 23-8 56% 46% 0%
Rider (14-8) 20-11 10% 10% 0%
St Peters (10-12) 15-16 5% 5% 0%
Loyola-MD (8-12) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (11-8) 18-11 13% 13% 0%
Siena (8-11) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
Marist (2-18) 5-25 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (3-16) 6-23 0% 0% 0%

Most Likely 1 Seeds

Team 1-Seed%
Kentucky 99.2%
Virginia 74.1%
Arizona 71.2%
Wisconsin 48.5%
Kansas 28.9%

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Most Likely Auto Bids

Team Auto%
Kentucky 81.0%
Gonzaga 76.1%
N Mex State 68.2%
NC Central 59.6%
TX Southern 57.8%

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Current Bubble Teams

Team NCAA Bid%
Miami (FL) 51.5%
Mississippi 52.9%
Dayton 52.2%
BYU 54.0%
Texas A&M 45.8%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
LSU 67.2% 26.1%
Texas A&M 45.8% 24.0%
Xavier 86.9% 17.0%
Georgia 77.1% 14.2%
Tulsa 76.4% 12.5%

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Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
NC State 27.3% -32.8%
Harvard 32.2% -18.7%
Washington 14.0% -17.2%
Iowa 63.8% -13.6%
BYU 54.0% -13.0%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Yale 43.7% 11.7%
Bucknell 20.5% 9.6%
Wm & Mary 30.7% 8.5%
Albany 41.8% 6.8%
GA Southern 19.8% 5.8%

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Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Harvard 31.5% -16.2%
American 13.7% -10.0%
Hofstra 29.4% -8.8%
Coastal Car 41.1% -8.0%
NC Central 59.6% -6.9%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Kansas 28.9% 16.5%
Arizona 71.2% 13.2%
Wisconsin 48.5% 3.1%
Louisville 3.2% 1.7%
Notre Dame 2.0% 1.6%

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Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Gonzaga 12.1% -20.3%
Duke 25.6% -4.1%
N Carolina 4.9% -2.9%
Wichita St 1.1% -2.6%
Utah 1.1% -2.6%

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Notre Dame 4.3 -2.0
Penn State 11.4 -1.6
Kansas 2.3 -1.0
Boston Col 12.3 -1.0
Stanford 6.4 -0.9

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Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Northwestern 14.5 2.5
Wash State 15.6 2.3
Marquette 12.4 1.9
Texas 7.1 1.8
Wake Forest 14.8 1.5

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