TeamRankings is hiring! Check out our current openings.

Our Week 12 NFL contest for $2,249 in guaranteed prizes is open. Claim your spot now.

NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2015

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Projected Seed Current & Projected Record Bracketology Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid 1 Seed
Massachusetts Lowell (1-2) 10-19 1% 1% 0%
South Dakota (0-3) 12-19 6% 6% 0%
16 68 Bryant (1-1) 15-14 19% 19% 0%
North Dakota (1-2) 13-17 4% 4% 0%
CS Bakersfld (0-4) 13-17 7% 7% 0%
Incarnate Word (2-0) 17-11 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (1-2) 6-24 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (1-2) 10-18 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (1-2) 13-15 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (1-2) 16-14 14% 14% 0%
Neb Omaha (1-1) 11-18 4% 4% 0%
Grand Canyon (2-2) 15-16 0% 0% 0%
16 63 SC Upstate (3-0) 23-8 47% 47% 0%
N Dakota St (1-2) 14-13 13% 13% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (3-0) 18-10 34% 33% 0%
Longwood (2-1) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (1-2) 14-14 14% 14% 0%
Houston Bap (1-1) 12-16 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (1-1) 13-15 7% 7% 0%
N Florida (1-2) 15-15 13% 13% 0%
Central Ark (0-3) 5-24 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (1-1) 12-15 1% 1% 0%
14 56 NC Central (1-1) 23-6 62% 62% 0%
Abilene Christian (1-1) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (1-2) 15-14 4% 4% 0%
Kennesaw St (0-4) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (2-1) 13-17 4% 0% 0%
Alabama (3-0) 19-11 36% 2% 0%
LSU (2-1) 16-14 11% 1% 0%
Miss State (2-0) 13-17 1% 0% 0%
3 11 Arkansas (3-0) 24-7 85% 12% 7%
Mississippi (2-1) 18-12 27% 2% 0%
S Carolina (2-2) 15-15 12% 1% 0%
5 18 Florida (2-1) 21-8 79% 12% 3%
Georgia (2-1) 15-14 16% 1% 0%
Tennessee (1-1) 14-14 10% 1% 0%
Vanderbilt (2-0) 14-16 2% 0% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (4-0) 28-3 100% 64% 68%
15 60 Ste F Austin (1-2) 22-8 50% 49% 0%
Texas State (2-0) 15-14 3% 2% 0%
McNeese St (2-1) 11-17 1% 1% 0%
TX-Arlington (2-1) 18-12 10% 9% 0%
SE Louisiana (0-2) 13-18 4% 4% 0%
NW State (2-1) 14-15 3% 3% 0%
Sam Hous St (2-1) 23-8 35% 35% 0%
Nicholls St (0-2) 10-18 1% 1% 0%
Lamar (1-2) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (1-1) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (2-1) 20-9 22% 19% 0%
TX-Pan Am (2-0) 9-21 1% 1% 0%
TX A&M-CC (1-1) 14-15 5% 5% 0%
Savannah St (1-2) 11-19 2% 2% 0%
IPFW (2-1) 16-12 13% 13% 0%
Columbia (1-1) 17-11 16% 15% 0%
Cornell (2-3) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (1-2) 15-13 9% 9% 0%
Yale (2-1) 19-12 29% 26% 0%
Dartmouth (0-2) 12-16 2% 2% 0%
12 50 Harvard (2-1) 19-9 47% 44% 0%
U Penn (0-2) 6-22 0% 0% 0%
Brown (1-2) 14-16 2% 2% 0%
Loyola-Chi (2-1) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
Wright State (2-1) 13-17 3% 3% 0%
Youngs St (1-3) 12-19 1% 1% 0%
Butler (2-0) 18-11 40% 10% 0%
WI-Milwkee (1-3) 12-18 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (1-2) 11-19 2% 2% 0%
13 54 WI-Grn Bay (1-1) 19-8 49% 45% 0%
Cleveland St (2-1) 18-13 24% 22% 0%
Detroit (1-2) 15-15 10% 10% 0%
Radford (1-2) 16-14 6% 5% 0%
Charl South (2-0) 18-9 21% 18% 0%
Winthrop (2-1) 17-12 7% 6% 0%
15 61 Coastal Car (2-1) 21-8 43% 41% 0%
VA Military (2-1) 17-11 18% 18% 0%
Liberty (2-1) 14-16 1% 1% 0%
High Point (3-0) 19-11 11% 10% 0%
NC-Asheville (2-1) 16-13 7% 7% 0%
Hawaii (4-1) 14-13 4% 4% 0%
Fresno St (1-2) 11-18 2% 2% 0%
Nevada (2-1) 11-17 1% 1% 0%
3 10 S Methodist (1-2) 23-7 90% 33% 7%
LA Tech (2-1) 23-8 29% 19% 0%
Rice (1-1) 9-19 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (1-0) 19-8 36% 20% 0%
Tulsa (2-1) 17-12 24% 5% 0%
Boise State (3-0) 20-10 30% 11% 0%
San Jose St (1-2) 7-21 0% 0% 0%
10 39 Georgetown (2-0) 18-9 54% 13% 1%
Providence (3-0) 17-14 28% 6% 0%
St Johns (3-0) 15-15 9% 2% 0%
Rutgers (1-1) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (2-1) 17-13 23% 1% 0%
6 23 Miami (FL) (4-0) 22-9 77% 3% 1%
7 27 Connecticut (3-0) 20-9 73% 33% 1%
VA Tech (2-0) 13-17 1% 0% 0%
11 44 Notre Dame (3-0) 22-9 43% 2% 1%
4 15 Villanova (3-0) 23-7 82% 29% 5%
9 35 W Virginia (4-0) 20-10 62% 6% 1%
10 40 Syracuse (3-1) 20-11 56% 2% 0%
Boston Col (2-2) 13-16 2% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (2-0) 15-14 14% 3% 0%
Pepperdine (3-0) 14-15 1% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (2-1) 12-16 1% 0% 0%
San Fransco (2-0) 18-10 21% 3% 0%
1 4 Gonzaga (3-0) 28-2 100% 76% 31%
Loyola Mymt (1-2) 7-21 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (2-1) 14-14 8% 1% 0%
St Marys (3-0) 18-11 21% 2% 0%
Portland (2-0) 17-13 4% 1% 0%
Austin Peay (1-3) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (2-0) 21-8 32% 29% 0%
TN Tech (1-1) 15-15 3% 3% 0%
TN Martin (2-1) 17-12 6% 6% 0%
E Illinois (1-2) 9-19 0% 0% 0%
15 62 Murray St (2-1) 23-7 36% 32% 0%
SE Missouri (1-2) 15-14 4% 4% 0%
Morehead St (1-3) 17-14 5% 5% 0%
Jksnville St (0-3) 8-23 0% 0% 0%
TN State (2-1) 7-23 0% 0% 0%
Samford (1-2) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (2-0) 15-13 29% 2% 0%
11 41 Baylor (3-0) 20-10 55% 6% 1%
Missouri (2-1) 12-17 5% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (1-1) 13-17 2% 0% 0%
6 21 Kansas (1-1) 19-10 80% 13% 3%
Texas A&M (2-1) 19-10 40% 3% 0%
7 26 Colorado (2-0) 20-8 67% 11% 2%
4 14 Iowa State (2-0) 21-8 79% 17% 8%
Kansas St (2-1) 16-13 28% 4% 0%
1 3 Texas (4-0) 26-5 99% 40% 35%
Oklahoma St (4-0) 17-12 37% 4% 0%
10 37 Oklahoma (1-1) 18-10 60% 9% 2%
Florida Intl (3-0) 12-19 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (1-1) 14-16 4% 3% 0%
AR Lit Rock (1-1) 13-15 3% 3% 0%
Arkansas St (0-1) 12-17 2% 2% 0%
Middle Tenn (1-1) 13-17 2% 1% 0%
LA Lafayette (1-2) 18-13 6% 6% 0%
New Orleans (1-1) 11-16 1% 1% 0%
S Alabama (1-1) 12-19 1% 1% 0%
North Texas (3-0) 13-17 1% 1% 0%
16 66 Denver (1-1) 18-11 29% 28% 0%
13 51 N Mex State (1-2) 22-9 65% 62% 0%
Idaho State (0-3) 10-20 1% 1% 0%
N Arizona (1-2) 16-14 9% 9% 0%
Sac State (2-1) 14-15 3% 3% 0%
Weber State (1-2) 13-14 14% 14% 0%
Montana (0-2) 14-15 9% 8% 0%
Montana St (0-3) 7-24 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (2-0) 15-13 6% 6% 0%
14 55 E Washingtn (3-0) 23-8 52% 46% 0%
Wyoming (2-0) 18-13 8% 4% 0%
7 25 Utah (2-1) 21-9 75% 15% 2%
7 28 Colorado St (2-0) 21-8 61% 19% 0%
New Mexico (3-1) 19-10 21% 9% 0%
5 17 San Diego St (3-0) 24-5 87% 44% 2%
UNLV (2-1) 15-16 9% 7% 0%
6 22 BYU (3-0) 23-6 79% 16% 1%
Air Force (2-1) 14-15 1% 1% 0%
Albany (1-1) 17-12 23% 23% 0%
Maine (0-3) 5-24 0% 0% 0%
15 59 Vermont (2-1) 20-9 44% 43% 0%
Binghamton (1-2) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (1-2) 13-15 4% 4% 0%
Boston U (1-2) 14-14 8% 7% 0%
Maryland BC (0-2) 9-20 1% 1% 0%
Hartford (2-1) 14-14 6% 6% 0%
14 58 Northeastrn (2-0) 20-10 38% 31% 0%
Stony Brook (1-2) 19-12 24% 23% 0%
Illinois St (1-1) 14-14 4% 2% 0%
Drake (0-2) 9-21 0% 0% 0%
12 46 N Iowa (3-0) 21-8 48% 15% 0%
Missouri St (2-0) 15-13 6% 2% 0%
Bradley (0-2) 7-22 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (3-0) 19-11 36% 8% 0%
2 7 Wichita St (2-0) 25-3 95% 54% 19%
S Illinois (1-2) 15-16 1% 1% 0%
8 29 Evansville (2-0) 23-5 64% 24% 0%
Indiana St (1-1) 16-13 4% 2% 0%
Delaware St (2-2) 15-16 6% 6% 0%
NC A&T (1-2) 9-21 1% 1% 0%
Hampton (1-2) 17-11 16% 16% 0%
Beth-Cook (1-2) 13-18 2% 2% 0%
Morgan St (0-3) 10-19 3% 3% 0%
S Car State (0-3) 7-24 0% 0% 0%
Howard (1-3) 14-17 4% 4% 0%
Maryland ES (1-3) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (0-3) 5-23 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (1-2) 13-17 4% 4% 0%
Florida A&M (0-4) 6-23 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (0-2) 10-19 3% 3% 0%
Geo Mason (1-3) 6-22 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (0-4) 10-17 7% 7% 0%
James Mad (2-1) 13-18 3% 3% 0%
11 42 Old Dominion (3-0) 23-5 54% 31% 0%
Hofstra (2-1) 18-13 10% 10% 0%
4 13 VCU (3-0) 25-5 92% 42% 3%
NC-Wilmgton (1-1) 14-15 10% 10% 0%
Wm & Mary (2-1) 15-14 14% 12% 0%
Towson (2-1) 14-17 3% 3% 0%
Citadel (1-2) 9-20 1% 1% 0%
Davidson (2-0) 16-13 12% 3% 0%
13 52 Wofford (2-1) 22-8 53% 48% 0%
Col Charlestn (1-3) 16-14 16% 16% 0%
Furman (1-1) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (1-1) 15-13 4% 4% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (1-2) 9-22 0% 0% 0%
Elon (1-1) 13-16 6% 6% 0%
Chattanooga (1-2) 15-15 3% 3% 0%
W Carolina (1-2) 13-18 3% 3% 0%
E Tenn St (1-1) 17-12 15% 15% 0%
App State (0-2) 5-24 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (2-1) 20-9 24% 21% 0%
Campbell (1-1) 11-20 1% 1% 0%
Fla Atlantic (1-2) 12-17 1% 1% 0%
Jacksonville (1-3) 5-25 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (2-2) 10-20 1% 1% 0%
Lipscomb (1-2) 12-17 6% 6% 0%
12 49 Georgia St (1-2) 24-7 65% 54% 0%
Gard-Webb (2-1) 18-10 13% 11% 0%
Central FL (2-0) 12-17 1% 0% 0%
Mercer (2-1) 17-12 11% 11% 0%
Troy (1-2) 10-19 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (3-0) 20-11 36% 8% 0%
Fordham (1-2) 9-20 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (2-0) 15-12 9% 3% 0%
St Josephs (1-2) 10-20 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (1-1) 17-12 9% 3% 0%
Temple (2-1) 19-12 23% 4% 0%
Duquesne (1-0) 15-14 4% 1% 0%
Dayton (2-1) 18-11 27% 7% 0%
5 19 Xavier (3-0) 21-8 77% 20% 3%
La Salle (2-0) 17-13 12% 3% 0%
Richmond (1-1) 19-12 26% 7% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (2-1) 21-8 47% 17% 0%
Alabama St (1-1) 18-9 0% 0% 0%
Southern (1-2) 14-17 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (1-2) 12-19 13% 13% 0%
Prairie View (0-4) 11-18 13% 13% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (1-3) 13-17 19% 19% 0%
16 64 TX Southern (0-3) 14-17 37% 37% 0%
Miss Val St (0-3) 4-26 1% 1% 0%
Grambling St (1-2) 3-25 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (0-2) 9-19 7% 7% 0%
Alcorn State (0-3) 10-17 9% 9% 0%
Ohio (1-1) 14-13 12% 7% 0%
Marshall (3-1) 16-15 4% 3% 0%
Akron (2-1) 19-12 15% 10% 0%
Buffalo (2-1) 20-11 32% 17% 0%
Miami (OH) (1-1) 11-19 1% 1% 0%
Kent State (3-0) 19-11 10% 7% 0%
N Illinois (2-0) 14-15 3% 2% 0%
E Michigan (3-0) 15-16 2% 1% 0%
Bowling Grn (2-0) 19-10 26% 15% 0%
14 57 Toledo (1-2) 19-11 36% 20% 0%
W Michigan (2-0) 18-10 25% 15% 0%
Ball State (1-1) 11-18 1% 1% 0%
Central Mich (3-0) 17-11 8% 5% 0%
Mt St Marys (0-2) 9-20 4% 4% 0%
St Fran (PA) (1-2) 15-14 17% 17% 0%
Central Conn (0-3) 11-20 4% 4% 0%
Quinnipiac (1-1) 17-12 9% 8% 0%
Rob Morris (1-2) 12-17 8% 8% 0%
F Dickinson (2-1) 11-18 5% 5% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (0-1) 13-16 8% 8% 0%
Monmouth (1-1) 17-14 10% 8% 0%
Sacred Hrt (1-1) 14-16 11% 11% 0%
Wagner (1-2) 13-16 9% 9% 0%
St Fran (NY) (0-2) 15-15 16% 16% 0%
Oakland (0-3) 11-20 5% 5% 0%
UMKC (2-1) 13-17 7% 7% 0%
Valparaiso (3-1) 19-12 15% 14% 0%
Oral Roberts (1-2) 15-15 14% 14% 0%
IUPUI (1-2) 9-21 3% 3% 0%
W Illinois (0-2) 11-16 5% 5% 0%
S Utah (0-2) 5-23 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (1-2) 8-23 2% 2% 0%
Cal Poly (2-1) 12-16 5% 5% 0%
UC Davis (2-0) 11-18 1% 1% 0%
Lg Beach St (2-2) 16-14 30% 21% 0%
UC Riverside (1-2) 8-22 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (0-2) 18-10 31% 25% 0%
Utah State (3-0) 17-13 4% 2% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (1-2) 15-15 4% 4% 0%
13 53 UC Irvine (2-1) 21-8 45% 36% 0%
Idaho (2-1) 13-16 3% 3% 0%
CS Fullerton (0-2) 13-18 3% 3% 0%
Pacific (2-1) 9-19 0% 0% 0%
16 67 Lafayette (2-1) 19-10 27% 23% 0%
Army (3-0) 18-11 11% 9% 0%
Colgate (0-2) 13-18 6% 5% 0%
Navy (0-3) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (0-3) 11-17 4% 4% 0%
American (2-1) 17-12 24% 21% 0%
Bucknell (1-2) 15-15 9% 8% 0%
Holy Cross (2-0) 18-10 27% 21% 0%
2 6 Wisconsin (3-0) 25-4 99% 39% 26%
12 48 Purdue (3-0) 19-10 44% 4% 0%
8 31 Iowa (2-2) 20-11 65% 7% 2%
Michigan (3-0) 17-13 24% 1% 0%
Penn State (3-1) 13-17 2% 0% 0%
3 9 Ohio State (2-0) 24-7 84% 15% 14%
8 30 Michigan St (2-1) 20-9 62% 6% 2%
8 32 Indiana (3-0) 21-10 58% 5% 3%
4 16 Illinois (3-0) 23-8 82% 11% 5%
Minnesota (2-1) 19-11 34% 3% 1%
Northwestern (3-0) 13-17 2% 0% 0%
Marquette (1-1) 17-11 33% 8% 0%
Tulane (1-1) 13-17 1% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (2-1) 17-12 7% 5% 0%
DePaul (2-0) 9-20 1% 0% 0%
TX Christian (3-0) 15-15 1% 0% 0%
UAB (1-2) 10-19 2% 2% 0%
S Florida (3-0) 11-20 0% 0% 0%
9 33 Memphis (0-1) 20-10 56% 14% 2%
E Carolina (2-1) 12-17 1% 0% 0%
2 5 Louisville (3-0) 26-5 98% 20% 29%
Houston (1-0) 18-12 7% 2% 0%
12 47 Cincinnati (2-0) 19-11 44% 9% 1%
Charlotte (3-0) 20-11 22% 13% 0%
Saint Louis (2-0) 20-10 23% 5% 0%
Wash State (1-2) 8-20 0% 0% 0%
11 43 Oregon (3-0) 21-10 47% 6% 1%
USC (2-2) 8-21 0% 0% 0%
9 34 UCLA (3-0) 19-10 63% 10% 1%
Oregon St (3-0) 11-18 0% 0% 0%
9 36 Stanford (3-0) 20-10 64% 9% 1%
10 38 California (3-1) 21-10 57% 8% 1%
Washington (2-0) 16-12 15% 2% 0%
Arizona St (3-0) 16-14 15% 2% 0%
2 8 Arizona (3-0) 24-5 97% 38% 18%
Florida St (1-1) 17-14 15% 0% 0%
5 20 Virginia (4-0) 21-8 85% 5% 2%
Clemson (1-2) 14-15 9% 0% 0%
6 24 Maryland (3-0) 22-8 71% 7% 4%
12 45 NC State (3-0) 19-12 47% 1% 1%
1 2 Duke (4-0) 28-3 100% 53% 67%
Wake Forest (2-2) 12-19 1% 0% 0%
GA Tech (3-0) 12-16 6% 0% 0%
3 12 N Carolina (2-0) 22-7 94% 13% 7%
Fairfield (1-2) 10-20 1% 1% 0%
Manhattan (0-2) 16-12 13% 11% 0%
Iona (2-1) 22-9 42% 27% 0%
Rider (2-1) 15-14 5% 5% 0%
St Peters (0-3) 10-20 2% 2% 0%
Loyola-MD (2-1) 9-20 1% 1% 0%
Canisius (2-0) 15-14 7% 5% 0%
16 65 Siena (1-2) 18-11 31% 29% 0%
Marist (0-1) 12-16 4% 3% 0%
Niagara (1-1) 8-21 0% 0% 0%

Most Likely 1 Seeds

Team 1-Seed%
Kentucky 67.9%
Duke 67.2%
Texas 35.5%
Gonzaga 31.4%
Louisville 29.4%

See More »


Most Likely Auto Bids

Team Auto%
Gonzaga 75.7%
Kentucky 63.8%
N Mex State 62.1%
NC Central 61.7%
Wichita St 53.7%

See More »


Current Bubble Teams

Team NCAA Bid%
Georgetown 54.0%
NC State 47.0%
Memphis 55.8%
Oregon 46.8%
Baylor 55.2%

See More »


Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Miami (FL) 77.1% 49.3%
Illinois 81.5% 39.0%
W Virginia 61.9% 33.2%
Evansville 63.7% 33.1%
Xavier 76.8% 27.5%

See More Gainers »


Odds To Get An NCAA Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Pittsburgh 22.9% -44.5%
Clemson 8.8% -40.4%
Kansas St 28.0% -31.0%
St Johns 9.2% -25.9%
Lg Beach St 29.7% -19.4%

See More Drops »


Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
SC Upstate 46.5% 21.7%
E Washingtn 45.9% 18.8%
E Kentucky 28.6% 18.1%
LA Monroe 18.6% 16.2%
Kentucky 63.8% 15.6%

See More Gainers »


Odds To Get An Auto-Bid - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Florida 12.4% -13.4%
Mercer 11.4% -13.4%
Kansas 13.4% -12.9%
Lipscomb 5.9% -12.0%
Arizona 37.7% -11.3%

See More Drops »


Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Gonzaga 31.3% 19.3%
Kentucky 67.9% 18.6%
Texas 35.2% 13.6%
Duke 67.2% 7.3%
Wisconsin 26.3% 6.5%

See More Gainers »


Odds To Get A 1 Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Arizona 18.2% -16.3%
Florida 3.1% -15.0%
Kansas 2.6% -10.0%
Villanova 5.0% -7.3%
Iowa 1.7% -5.3%

See More Drops »


Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Miami (FL) 7.0 -1.9
Illinois 5.9 -1.9
Gonzaga 2.4 -1.6
Evansville 7.3 -1.4
Xavier 6.2 -1.4

See More Gainers »


Projected Avg. Seed - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
USC 13.0 3.4
Nevada 13.2 2.7
UNLV 13.4 2.6
Drake 13.9 2.5
Wyoming 10.8 2.2

See More Drops »