Oklahoma Sooners NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

87.1%

Automatic Bid

11.5%

At Large Bid

75.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (12.5%)

Final Four

5.1%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.9%
19 97.7%
18 85.8%
17 44.0%
16 8.2%
15 0.7%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
12 0.0%
OVERALL 87.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.8% 2.8%
2 5.0% 1.7%
3 7.7% 1.1%
4 10.5% 0.7%
5 12.5% 0.5%
6 12.5% 0.4%
7 8.6% 0.3%
8 5.4% 0.2%
9 4.5% 0.2%
10 4.4% 0.1%
11 4.7% 0.2%
12 5.4% 0.1%
13 3.0% 0.1%
14 0.9% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.