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Evansville Purple Aces NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Evansville bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

65.6%

Automatic Bid

24.7%

At Large Bid

40.9%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.9%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.5%
26 97.7%
25 88.6%
24 62.7%
23 30.6%
22 13.9%
21 4.0%
20 2.1%
19 0.0%
18 1.0%
17 0.0%
16 4.8%
OVERALL 65.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 2.0%
2 2.3% 0.9%
3 4.6% 0.5%
4 5.9% 0.3%
5 6.0% 0.2%
6 6.1% 0.2%
7 8.5% 0.1%
8 8.9% 0.1%
9 7.3% 0.0%
10 5.7% 0.0%
11 4.4% 0.0%
12 3.4% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.