Baylor Bears NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

85.1%

Automatic Bid

7.5%

At Large Bid

77.6%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (13.9%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 97.0%
20 78.8%
19 33.7%
18 6.5%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 85.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 1.6%
2 4.8% 0.8%
3 7.7% 0.5%
4 10.4% 0.3%
5 12.7% 0.2%
6 13.9% 0.2%
7 10.1% 0.1%
8 5.5% 0.1%
9 3.7% 0.1%
10 3.4% 0.1%
11 3.8% 0.1%
12 4.4% 0.0%
13 2.3% 0.0%
14 0.7% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.