VCU Rams NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

40.0%

At Large Bid

59.9%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (30.4%)

Final Four

5.7%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 97.9%
22 84.2%
21 24.2%
20 2.2%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.6% 1.3%
2 19.6% 0.9%
3 30.4% 0.6%
4 22.2% 0.4%
5 12.8% 0.3%
6 6.7% 0.2%
7 3.1% 0.2%
8 1.4% 0.1%
9 0.6% 0.1%
10 0.3% 0.1%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.