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Arizona Wildcats NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.8%

Automatic Bid

43.0%

At Large Bid

56.8%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (28.7%)

Final Four

16.1%

NCAA Champs

2.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 98.7%
23 91.7%
22 57.5%
21 8.6%
OVERALL 99.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 19.0% 5.7%
2 28.7% 3.2%
3 22.0% 1.9%
4 14.2% 1.2%
5 8.3% 0.9%
6 4.3% 0.6%
7 1.6% 0.4%
8 0.7% 0.4%
9 0.4% 0.3%
10 0.3% 0.5%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.