Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

63.7%

Automatic Bid

4.0%

At Large Bid

59.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (9.6%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 98.3%
23 88.1%
22 48.9%
21 12.1%
20 1.1%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 63.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.3% 0.6%
3 2.7% 0.4%
4 3.7% 0.3%
5 4.1% 0.2%
6 6.0% 0.1%
7 9.3% 0.1%
8 9.6% 0.1%
9 8.3% 0.1%
10 6.8% 0.1%
11 5.5% 0.0%
12 4.4% 0.0%
13 1.6% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.