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Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Illinois bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

83.7%

Automatic Bid

10.0%

At Large Bid

73.7%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (11.1%)

Final Four

7.6%

NCAA Champs

1.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 97.1%
22 85.8%
21 57.5%
20 16.9%
19 3.7%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 83.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.9% 5.3%
2 10.0% 2.6%
3 11.1% 1.4%
4 10.8% 1.0%
5 9.0% 0.6%
6 6.4% 0.4%
7 5.8% 0.4%
8 5.9% 0.3%
9 5.3% 0.2%
10 4.6% 0.2%
11 3.9% 0.1%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.