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Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Illinois bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

81.5%

Automatic Bid

11.3%

At Large Bid

70.3%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (10.2%)

Final Four

7.5%

NCAA Champs

1.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.6%
23 96.9%
22 81.0%
21 51.2%
20 16.6%
19 2.7%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 81.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.3% 5.1%
2 9.3% 2.8%
3 10.2% 1.7%
4 9.7% 1.1%
5 8.3% 0.8%
6 6.4% 0.5%
7 6.0% 0.4%
8 6.2% 0.3%
9 5.5% 0.3%
10 4.8% 0.2%
11 4.2% 0.2%
12 3.7% 0.1%
13 1.6% 0.1%
14 0.4% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.