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Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Illinois bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

83.7%

Automatic Bid

9.7%

At Large Bid

74.0%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (11.0%)

Final Four

6.5%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.5%
23 96.5%
22 83.4%
21 49.4%
20 15.6%
19 1.9%
18 0.4%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 83.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.4% 4.8%
2 7.9% 2.6%
3 10.4% 1.4%
4 11.0% 0.8%
5 10.0% 0.5%
6 7.4% 0.4%
7 6.1% 0.3%
8 6.2% 0.2%
9 5.8% 0.2%
10 5.1% 0.2%
11 4.4% 0.1%
12 3.9% 0.1%
13 1.6% 0.1%
14 0.4% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.