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Xavier Musketeers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Xavier bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

76.8%

Automatic Bid

20.3%

At Large Bid

56.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (10.1%)

Final Four

3.1%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.1%
21 93.1%
20 76.5%
19 43.0%
18 11.7%
17 4.0%
16 1.7%
15 1.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 76.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.7% 2.4%
2 6.4% 1.0%
3 8.6% 0.4%
4 9.7% 0.3%
5 10.1% 0.2%
6 9.0% 0.1%
7 5.6% 0.1%
8 4.6% 0.1%
9 4.7% 0.0%
10 4.5% 0.0%
11 4.3% 0.0%
12 4.2% 0.0%
13 1.9% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.