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Dayton Flyers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Dayton bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

25.0%

Automatic Bid

6.3%

At Large Bid

18.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (3.5%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 98.4%
24 88.0%
23 67.8%
22 31.4%
21 8.2%
20 1.9%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.2%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 25.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 0.1%
5 1.7% 0.0%
6 2.0% 0.0%
7 1.9% 0.0%
8 2.3% 0.0%
9 2.8% 0.0%
10 3.0% 0.0%
11 3.3% 0.0%
12 3.5% 0.0%
13 1.9% 0.0%
14 0.7% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.