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Dayton Flyers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Dayton bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

28.3%

Automatic Bid

8.8%

At Large Bid

19.5%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (4.1%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 98.7%
25 88.4%
24 54.2%
23 21.3%
22 3.4%
21 0.6%
20 0.7%
19 0.3%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 28.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.0%
6 1.7% 0.0%
7 3.2% 0.0%
8 4.1% 0.0%
9 4.1% 0.0%
10 3.8% 0.0%
11 3.5% 0.0%
12 3.4% 0.0%
13 1.7% 0.0%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.