Dayton Flyers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

  • Atlantic 10 Conference teams:
  • All teams:
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Make Tournament

83.6%

Automatic Bid

18.7%

At Large Bid

64.9%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (16.3%)

Final Four

0.5%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 98.2%
25 88.4%
24 74.2%
23 34.6%
OVERALL 83.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.0%
6 6.4% 0.0%
7 10.5% 0.0%
8 14.3% 0.0%
9 16.3% 0.0%
10 15.0% 0.0%
11 10.7% 0.0%
12 5.0% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.