West Virginia Mountaineers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

85.0%

Automatic Bid

8.5%

At Large Bid

76.6%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (12.8%)

Final Four

3.7%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.4%
21 94.9%
20 72.3%
19 28.4%
18 4.8%
17 0.5%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 85.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 1.9%
2 4.6% 1.0%
3 7.4% 0.7%
4 9.9% 0.5%
5 11.8% 0.3%
6 12.8% 0.2%
7 9.8% 0.2%
8 5.9% 0.1%
9 4.3% 0.1%
10 4.0% 0.1%
11 4.3% 0.1%
12 5.0% 0.1%
13 2.7% 0.1%
14 0.8% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.