Michigan St Spartans NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

78.5%

Automatic Bid

7.9%

At Large Bid

70.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.9%)

Final Four

3.4%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 97.9%
21 88.5%
20 56.4%
19 18.2%
18 1.9%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 78.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.4% 1.7%
3 1.6% 1.1%
4 3.9% 0.8%
5 6.3% 0.5%
6 8.1% 0.5%
7 9.2% 0.4%
8 9.7% 0.3%
9 9.9% 0.3%
10 9.5% 0.2%
11 8.9% 0.2%
12 8.0% 0.2%
13 2.7% 0.1%
14 0.4% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.