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Michigan St Spartans NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Michigan St bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

87.6%

Automatic Bid

10.1%

At Large Bid

77.5%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (12.0%)

Final Four

6.4%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.5%
22 95.0%
21 66.4%
20 22.5%
19 2.6%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 87.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 4.1%
2 4.4% 2.3%
3 9.0% 1.7%
4 12.0% 1.2%
5 11.4% 0.8%
6 9.4% 0.6%
7 8.9% 0.6%
8 8.4% 0.4%
9 7.1% 0.4%
10 5.8% 0.3%
11 4.7% 0.2%
12 3.8% 0.2%
13 1.5% 0.1%
14 0.3% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.