Duke Blue Devils NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

26.9%

At Large Bid

73.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (41.7%)

Final Four

30.7%

NCAA Champs

8.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.5%
21 96.3%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 25.6% 11.6%
2 41.7% 8.7%
3 20.3% 6.4%
4 7.9% 5.5%
5 3.0% 4.3%
6 1.0% 3.1%
7 0.3% 3.9%
8 0.1% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 8.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.