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Michigan Wolverines NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Michigan bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

30.4%

Automatic Bid

1.7%

At Large Bid

28.7%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (3.5%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.6%
21 89.5%
20 65.3%
19 28.5%
18 4.7%
17 0.7%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 30.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 0.5%
2 0.9% 0.4%
3 1.5% 0.2%
4 2.0% 0.1%
5 2.4% 0.1%
6 2.4% 0.1%
7 2.4% 0.0%
8 3.0% 0.0%
9 3.2% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 3.2% 0.0%
12 3.5% 0.0%
13 1.8% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.