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Miss Valley St at Alabama St: Recap

Monday Feb 16, 2026 7:00 pm - Montgomery, AL
Odds: Alabama State by 16.5, Total Points: 141.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Alabama St MVSU 5.4%
ALST 94.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ALST -16.5 MVSU 47.2%
ALST 52.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 141.5 Over 51.5%
Under 48.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MVSU -3.7%
ALST -0.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MVSU 62.4 62.5 55
ALST 79.7 79.0 92

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MVSU ALST
Points/Game 63.2 71.5
Avg Score Margin -20.5 -6.1
Assists/Game 11.9 11.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 30.2 35.4
Effective FG % 45.2% 47.1%
Off Rebound % 24.1% 30.2%
FTA/FGA 0.339 0.349
Turnover % 19.4% 15.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MVSU ALST
Opp Points/Game 83.7 77.6
Opp Effective FG % 55.5% 52.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.5 10.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 19.3 21.9
Blocks/Game 2.6 3.8
Steals/Game 7.1 7.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.5 19.1