Miss Valley St at Alabama St: Recap

Monday Feb 16, 2026 7:00 pm - Montgomery, AL
Odds: Alabama State by 16.5, Total Points: 141.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Alabama St MVSU 5.4%
ALST 94.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ALST -16.5 MVSU 47.2%
ALST 52.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 141.5 Over 51.5%
Under 48.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MVSU -3.7%
ALST -0.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MVSU 62.4 62.5 55
ALST 79.7 79.0 92

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MVSU ALST
Points/Game 63.6 71.7
Avg Score Margin -20.3 -5.9
Assists/Game 11.8 11.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 30.0 35.3
Effective FG % 45.4% 47.3%
Off Rebound % 23.8% 30.2%
FTA/FGA 0.339 0.350
Turnover % 19.3% 15.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MVSU ALST
Opp Points/Game 83.9 77.6
Opp Effective FG % 55.5% 52.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.4 10.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 19.2 21.8
Blocks/Game 2.5 3.7
Steals/Game 7.0 7.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.7 19.1