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Miss Valley St at Alabama St: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Feb 16, 2026 7:00 pm - Montgomery, AL
Odds: Alabama State by 16.5, Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: MVSU @ ALST

More Games From Feb 16, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Alabama St -16.5 Official TR Pick Alabama St 53% odds to cover
Alabama St -16.5 Decision Tree Alabama St 53% odds to cover
Alabama St -16.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama St 60% odds to cover
Miss Valley St +16.5 Power Rating Model Miss Valley St 62% odds to cover
Miss Valley St +16.5 Similar Games Miss Valley St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MVSU adv ALST
Season 16-16-0 13-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-0 8-11-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 3-7-0 4-4-0
Away 13-9-0 9-14-0

Miss Valley St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away UAB +35.0 L by 51 -16.0
11/05 Home Mississippi Univ. For Women -- W by 36 --
11/07 Away Murray St +39.0 L by 48 -9.0
11/12 Away Hawai'i +41.5 L by 32 +9.5
11/14 Neutral Utah Tech +26.5 L by 6 +20.5
11/15 Neutral Manhattan +20.5 L by 7 +13.5
11/22 Away CS Bakersfield +22.0 L by 16 +6.0
11/25 Away Texas A&M +43.0 L by 36 +7.0
12/03 Away UL Monroe +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
12/08 Away Kansas St +39.0 L by 59 -20.0
12/16 Home Tarleton St +17.0 L by 24 -7.0
12/19 Away Florida St +39.5 L by 47 -7.5
12/22 Away West Virginia +42.5 L by 35 +7.5
12/29 Away Oklahoma +44.5 L by 24 +20.5
01/03 Home Alabama St +13.5 L by 20 -6.5
01/05 Home Alabama A&M +10.5 L by 20 -9.5
01/10 Away Prairie View +19.5 L by 1 +18.5
01/12 Away Texas So +13.0 L by 33 -20.0
01/17 Home Bethune +16.5 L by 16 +0.5
01/19 Home Florida A&M +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
01/28 Away Southern +20.5 L by 11 +9.5
01/31 Home AR-Pine Bluff +10.0 L by 8 +2.0
02/07 Home Jackson St +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
02/09 Home Alcorn St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Alabama A&M +15.5 L by 7 +8.5
02/16 Away Alabama St +16.5 L by 37 -20.5
02/19 Home Prairie View +9.0 L by 10 -1.0
02/21 Home Texas So +11.5 W by 1 +12.5
02/23 Away Grambling +16.5 L by 21 -4.5
02/28 Away AR-Pine Bluff +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
03/03 Away Alcorn St +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
03/05 Away Jackson St +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
03/09 Neutral Grambling +13.5 L by 25 -11.5

Alabama St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/07 Away Florida St +25.0 L by 37 -12.0
11/11 Away UAB +19.5 W by 3 +22.5
11/14 Home Virginia-Lynchburg -- W by 56 --
11/17 Away Colorado +22.5 L by 28 -5.5
11/19 Away Air Force +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
11/21 Neutral IU Indy +3.0 W by 21 +24.0
11/23 Neutral SIU Edward +4.0 L by 15 -11.0
11/26 Away New Mexico +19.0 L by 6 +13.0
12/07 Away UT Martin +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
12/11 Away Missouri +26.5 L by 8 +18.5
12/17 Away Cincinnati +21.0 L by 37 -16.0
12/22 Away Memphis +20.5 L by 21 -0.5
12/29 Away Mississippi St +17.5 L by 38 -20.5
01/03 Away Miss Valley St -13.5 W by 20 +6.5
01/05 Away AR-Pine Bluff (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Jackson St -7.0 L by 11 -18.0
01/12 Home Alcorn St -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/19 Neutral Alabama A&M -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
01/24 Away Prairie View -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
01/27 Away Texas So +2.5 L by 32 -29.5
01/31 Home Bethune +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
02/02 Home Florida A&M -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
02/07 Away Grambling +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/09 Away Southern +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
02/14 Home AR-Pine Bluff -4.0 W by 18 +14.0
02/16 Home Miss Valley St -16.5 W by 37 +20.5
02/19 Away Bethune +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/21 Away Florida A&M -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
02/28 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/03 Home Southern -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
03/05 Home Grambling -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
03/09 Neutral Alcorn St -7.5 L by 12 -19.5