Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Byrd Stadium, College Park, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | VTEC | -19.5 | 47.5 | -1300 |
| 142 | UMD | +19.5 | +925 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| VA Tech | Power Ratings | VA Tech 84% odds to win | |
| VA Tech | Similar Games | VA Tech 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD +19.5 | Power Ratings | Maryland loses by 14.4 | |
| UMD +19.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Maryland 51% odds to cover | |
| UMD +19.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Maryland loses by 15.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 47.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD +795 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| UMD +795 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | VTEC | adv | UMD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.8 | 19.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.487 | 0.285 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +16.2 | -11.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 392.1 | 311.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 4.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.400% | 47.869% | |
| SOS PR | 31.7 | 29.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | VTEC | adv | UMD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.6 | 30.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.232 | 0.435 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 295.5 | 394.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.4 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.7 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.8 | 45.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | VTEC | adv | UMD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W5 | L7 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 5-2 | 0-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | VTEC | adv | UMD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 4-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-3-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||