Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 10:20 PM |
| Location | Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | ASU | +21.0 | 50.5 | +915 |
| 168 | ORE | -21.0 | -1250 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | Power Ratings | Oregon 84% odds to win | |
| Oregon | Similar Games | Oregon 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU +20.0 | Power Ratings | Arizona St loses by 14.8 | |
| ORE -20.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Oregon 51% odds to cover | |
| ASU +20.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Arizona St loses by 18.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 51.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU +816 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| ASU +816 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ASU | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 36.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.288 | 0.522 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.9 | +12.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 327.8 | 412.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 6.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.501% | 45.627% | |
| SOS PR | 27.2 | 33.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ASU | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 23.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.311 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 321.3 | 336.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 4.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 86.3 | 61.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ASU | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7 | 8-1 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 2-4 | 7-0 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ASU | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||