Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 | NMSU | +19.0 | 54.0 | +745 |
| 204 | HAW | -19.0 | -965 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawaii | Power Ratings | Hawaii 82% odds to win | |
| Hawaii | Similar Games | Hawaii 90% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +18.5 | Power Ratings | N Mex State loses by 13.2 | |
| HAW -18.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Hawaii 63% odds to cover | |
| HAW -18.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Hawaii wins by 19.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +720 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NMSU | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 10.7 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.177 | 0.326 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -22.1 | -7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 224.0 | 439.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 3.7 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.8% | 48.6% | |
| SOS PR | 19.7 | 20.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NMSU | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 32.8 | 30.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.471 | 0.443 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 436.1 | 415.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.3 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.9 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.7 | 53.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-10 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||