Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | NDAM | +5.5 | 59.0 | +193 |
| 162 | PITT | -5.5 | -215 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 81% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -6.0 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh wins by 12.7 | |
| PITT -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Pittsburgh 55% odds to cover | |
| PITT -6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Pittsburgh wins by 9.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 58.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -234 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 11% different from model | |
| PITT -234 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NDAM | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.1 | 31.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.414 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.2 | +10.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 451.8 | 391.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.2 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.982% | 52.115% | |
| SOS PR | 28.7 | 31.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NDAM | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.9 | 21.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.393 | 0.309 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 397.8 | 332.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.5 | 50.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NDAM | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 0-1 | 5-2 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 4-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NDAM | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-1-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||