Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | UNLV | +17.0 | 47.5 | +580 |
| 180 | AFA | -17.0 | -715 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Power Ratings | Air Force 84% odds to win | |
| Air Force | Similar Games | Air Force 84% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV +17.0 | Power Ratings | UNLV loses by 14.5 | |
| UNLV +17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | UNLV 57% odds to cover | |
| UNLV +17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | UNLV loses by 14.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 47.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV +621 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| UNLV +621 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UNLV | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.6 | 26.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.343 | 0.348 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.5 | +9.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 340.8 | 354.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.397% | 54.806% | |
| SOS PR | 23.5 | 28.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UNLV | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 35.1 | 17.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.493 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 476.9 | 299.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.7 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +1.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.8 | 44.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UNLV | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UNLV | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||