Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Memorial U. Illinios, Champaign, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | NWST | +6.0 | 50.0 | +205 |
| 120 | ILL | -6.0 | -230 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | Power Ratings | Illinois 53% odds to win | |
| Illinois | Similar Games | Illinois 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST +5.0 | Power Ratings | Northwestrn loses by 0.9 | |
| NWST +5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 56% odds to cover | |
| NWST +5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn loses by 2.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST +184 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| NWST +184 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWST | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 22.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.309 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.2 | -9.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 397.3 | 379.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.861% | 49.980% | |
| SOS PR | 30.5 | 26.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWST | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.3 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.374 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 362.6 | 403.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.9 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 4-2 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 4-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-5-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||