Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Ross Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | MIST | -3.0 | 53.0 | -150 |
| 130 | PURD | +3.0 | +136 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | Power Ratings | Michigan St 56% odds to win | |
| Purdue | Similar Games | Purdue 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD +3.0 | Power Ratings | Purdue loses by 1.6 | |
| PURD +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Purdue 55% odds to cover | |
| PURD +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Purdue loses by 0.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD +130 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| PURD +130 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 28.5 | 27.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.438 | 0.388 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 399.0 | 391.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.826% | 49.250% | |
| SOS PR | 30.1 | 26.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.2 | 29.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.381 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 399.2 | 376.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.2 | 41.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 6-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-1 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-3-1 | |
| Away | 2-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||