Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Camp Randall, Madison, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | MICH | +8.5 | 54.5 | +277 |
| 126 | WISC | -8.5 | -315 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | Power Ratings | Wisconsin 78% odds to win | |
| Wisconsin | Similar Games | Wisconsin 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISC -8.5 | Power Ratings | Wisconsin wins by 11.0 | |
| MICH +8.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Michigan 52% odds to cover | |
| MICH +8.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Michigan loses by 7.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.0 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 55.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISC -315 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| MICH +277 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MICH | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.5 | 30.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.375 | 0.419 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 353.4 | 415.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 43.513% | 57.702% | |
| SOS PR | 28.6 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MICH | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.5 | 22.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.407 | 0.356 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 409.5 | 309.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.0 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 38.5 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L7 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 4-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 0-4 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||