Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Wednesday, November 11, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | TOL | +17.5 | 64.5 | +621 |
| 104 | CMCH | -17.5 | -775 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Mich | Power Ratings | Central Mich 87% odds to win | |
| Central Mich | Similar Games | Central Mich 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMCH -17.0 | Power Ratings | Central Mich wins by 17.0 | |
| TOL +17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Toledo 63% odds to cover | |
| TOL +17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Toledo loses by 13.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 63.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 63.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| TOL +604 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.7 | 32.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.0 | +12.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 437.9 | 431.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.061% | 50.474% | |
| SOS PR | 13.0 | 20.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 37.7 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.522 | 0.292 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 407.4 | 360.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 71.2 | 51.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 11-2 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 4-0 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 7-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 9-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 4-0-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 5-3-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||