Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | ALA | -10.5 | 43.5 | -390 |
| 186 | MSST | +10.5 | +338 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Power Ratings | Alabama 79% odds to win | |
| Alabama | Similar Games | Alabama 75% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -11.5 | Power Ratings | Alabama wins by 11.6 | |
| ALA -11.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Alabama 52% odds to cover | |
| MSST +11.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miss State loses by 10.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| MSST +381 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ALA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.6 | 23.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.443 | 0.340 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +18.7 | -4.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.1 | 368.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.234% | 53.031% | |
| SOS PR | 40.4 | 36.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ALA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 11.9 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.190 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 255.0 | 381.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.1 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.1 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.6 | 39.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-0 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 9-0 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W13 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 10-0 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 7-0 | 3-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 6-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||