Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Papa John's Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | SYR | +7.0 | 46.0 | +264 |
| 122 | LOU | -7.0 | -300 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | Power Ratings | Louisville 69% odds to win | |
| Louisville | Similar Games | Louisville 75% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR +7.5 | Power Ratings | Syracuse loses by 6.6 | |
| LOU -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Louisville 53% odds to cover | |
| LOU -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Louisville wins by 9.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR +248 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| LOU -280 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SYR | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.4 | 17.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.287 | 0.246 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.9 | -10.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 325.5 | 326.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.303% | 48.578% | |
| SOS PR | 28.0 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SYR | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.3 | 27.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.436 | 0.414 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 328.5 | 395.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.5 | 51.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SYR | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6 | 1-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 0-4 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SYR | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||