Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Bright House Networks Stadium, Orlando, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197 | HOU | -3.5 | 67.0 | -172 |
| 198 | UCF | +3.5 | +155 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 65% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -4.0 | Power Ratings | Houston wins by 4.7 | |
| UCF +4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Central FL 55% odds to cover | |
| UCF +4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Central FL loses by 3.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 64.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 64.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -182 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model | |
| UCF +164 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 41.2 | 26.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.489 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.4 | +3.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 565.2 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.549% | 51.736% | |
| SOS PR | 25.8 | 24.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.8 | 22.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.319 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 465.8 | 358.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.5 | 36.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-3 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 9-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4-0 | 7-1-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||