Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | WMCH | -14.0 | 58.5 | -500 |
| 144 | EMCH | +14.0 | +423 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| W Michigan | Power Ratings | W Michigan 76% odds to win | |
| W Michigan | Similar Games | W Michigan 68% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMCH +14.5 | Power Ratings | E Michigan loses by 9.5 | |
| EMCH +14.5 | Similar Games - Odds | E Michigan 56% odds to cover | |
| EMCH +14.5 | Similar Games - Pts | E Michigan loses by 10.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 58.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMCH +461 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| EMCH +461 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WMCH | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.7 | 16.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.254 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.4 | -21.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 377.3 | 278.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.152% | 51.301% | |
| SOS PR | 12.4 | 13.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WMCH | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.1 | 38.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.402 | 0.600 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 427.9 | 426.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 6.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.5 | 50.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WMCH | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 0-12 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 0-8 | |
| Streak | L1 | L12 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 0-5 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 0-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WMCH | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||