Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 4:30 PM |
| Location | Marshall Stadium, Huntington, WV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | USM | -3.0 | 49.5 | -142 |
| 188 | MRSH | +3.0 | +129 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | Power Ratings | Marshall 60% odds to win | |
| S Mississippi | Similar Games | S Mississippi 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH +3.0 | Power Ratings | Marshall wins by 2.8 | |
| USM -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | S Mississippi 59% odds to cover | |
| MRSH +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Marshall loses by 2.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 51.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH +129 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model | |
| MRSH +129 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USM | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.3 | 21.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.452 | 0.305 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.3 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 401.1 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.578% | 53.560% | |
| SOS PR | 23.6 | 21.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USM | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 24.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.362 | 0.357 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 410.9 | 376.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.7 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 67.4 | 70.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USM | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USM | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||