Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Thursday, November 12, 2009 |
| Time | 7:45 PM |
| Location | Rutgers Stadium, Piscataway, NJ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | USF | +1.5 | 42.5 | +104 |
| 112 | RUTG | -1.5 | -115 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | Power Ratings | Rutgers 59% odds to win | |
| Rutgers | Similar Games | Rutgers 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG -2.5 | Power Ratings | Rutgers wins by 2.5 | |
| RUTG -2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Rutgers 56% odds to cover | |
| RUTG -2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Rutgers wins by 4.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG -133 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| RUTG -133 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | RUTG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 26.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.396 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 349.7 | 305.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.492% | 51.588% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 26.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | RUTG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 20.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.333 | 0.303 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 344.0 | 328.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 43.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USF | adv | RUTG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USF | adv | RUTG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||