Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Carter Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | CLEM | -7.5 | 55.0 | -305 |
| 134 | NCST | +7.5 | +269 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | Power Ratings | Clemson 83% odds to win | |
| Clemson | Similar Games | Clemson 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM -7.5 | Power Ratings | Clemson wins by 13.9 | |
| NCST +7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | NC State 51% odds to cover | |
| NCST +7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | NC State loses by 6.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 56.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM -300 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CLEM | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.8 | 25.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.459 | 0.354 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.0 | -9.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 359.5 | 376.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.894% | 48.828% | |
| SOS PR | 32.0 | 31.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CLEM | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.8 | 35.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.303 | 0.521 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 325.4 | 408.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.5 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.2 | 1.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | -1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.8 | 39.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CLEM | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 0-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CLEM | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||