Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Tuesday, November 10, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | OHIO | +1.5 | 46.0 | +110 |
| 102 | BUFF | -1.5 | -121 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | Power Ratings | Ohio 54% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO +1.5 | Power Ratings | Ohio wins by 1.2 | |
| BUFF -1.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 54% odds to cover | |
| BUFF -1.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Buffalo wins by 3.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 46.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO +102 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | OHIO | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.5 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.386 | 0.320 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.4 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 300.9 | 396.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.880% | 48.765% | |
| SOS PR | 18.4 | 15.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | OHIO | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.2 | 25.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.304 | 0.375 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 356.0 | 354.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.1 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.7 | 53.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | OHIO | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | OHIO | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 4-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||