Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 | TROY | +14.0 | 63.5 | +461 |
| 210 | ARK | -14.0 | -550 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | Power Ratings | Arkansas 82% odds to win | |
| Arkansas | Similar Games | Arkansas 68% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK -13.0 | Power Ratings | Arkansas wins by 13.0 | |
| TROY +13.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Troy 57% odds to cover | |
| TROY +13.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Troy loses by 9.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 63.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 63.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| TROY +385 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.7 | 35.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.439 | 0.535 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.9 | +8.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 487.7 | 413.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.3% | 49.6% | |
| SOS PR | 21.9 | 34.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.8 | 26.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.378 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 426.7 | 417.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +1.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.3 | 51.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-1 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-1 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||