Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | IOWA | +16.5 | 37.5 | +655 |
| 124 | OHST | -16.5 | -825 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | Power Ratings | Ohio State 77% odds to win | |
| Ohio State | Similar Games | Ohio State 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA +16.5 | Power Ratings | Iowa loses by 10.4 | |
| OHST -16.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Ohio State 52% odds to cover | |
| IOWA +16.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Iowa loses by 15.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 37.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA +569 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IOWA | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 29.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.352 | 0.418 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.3 | +16.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 336.9 | 369.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.033% | 52.613% | |
| SOS PR | 33.1 | 31.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IOWA | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.3 | 12.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.229 | 0.190 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 270.1 | 262.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.4 | 2.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 36.0 | 43.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 6-1 | |
| Away | 5-1 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 10-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 6-0-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||