Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:30 PM |
| Location | Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | MIZZ | -1.5 | 51.0 | -124 |
| 170 | KSST | +1.5 | +112 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas St | Power Ratings | Kansas St 65% odds to win | |
| Kansas St | Similar Games | Kansas St 60% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSST +1.5 | Power Ratings | Kansas St wins by 4.6 | |
| KSST +1.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Kansas St 55% odds to cover | |
| KSST +1.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Kansas St wins by 2.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 51.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSST +103 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
| KSST +103 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIZZ | adv | KSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.1 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.379 | 0.304 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.6 | -5.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 403.1 | 333.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.660% | 55.378% | |
| SOS PR | 25.7 | 26.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIZZ | adv | KSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.5 | 25.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.356 | 0.383 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 367.8 | 376.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.4 | 55.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | KSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 5-2 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | KSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 0-5-0 | 3-1-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||