Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | IDHO | +32.0 | 63.0 | +6000 |
| 158 | BSU | -32.0 | -12000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Power Ratings | Boise State 94% odds to win | |
| Boise State | Similar Games | Boise State 98% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +32.0 | Power Ratings | Idaho loses by 24.2 | |
| BSU -32.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Boise State 51% odds to cover | |
| IDHO +32.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Idaho loses by 29.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 63.0 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go over 63.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +4000 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IDHO | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.7 | 42.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.485 | 0.615 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.3 | +25.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 451.0 | 455.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.259% | 49.333% | |
| SOS PR | 19.1 | 30.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IDHO | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.0 | 17.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.531 | 0.263 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 433.5 | 305.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +1.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 63.8 | 56.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IDHO | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 13-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 8-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W13 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 10-0 | |
| Home | 4-2 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IDHO | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-1 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-4-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||